{"id":49035,"date":"2018-07-10T15:17:11","date_gmt":"2018-07-10T19:17:11","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/newsroom.carleton.ca\/?post_type=cu_story&#038;p=49035"},"modified":"2025-10-17T18:07:42","modified_gmt":"2025-10-17T22:07:42","slug":"fighting-forest-fires-with-modelling-and-simulation","status":"publish","type":"cu_story","link":"https:\/\/carleton.ca\/news\/story\/fighting-forest-fires-with-modelling-and-simulation\/","title":{"rendered":"Fighting Forest Fires with Modelling and Simulation"},"content":{"rendered":"\n<section class=\"w-screen px-6 cu-section cu-section--white ml-offset-center md:px-8 lg:px-14\">\n    <div class=\"space-y-6 cu-max-w-child-max  md:space-y-10 cu-prose-first-last\">\n\n        \n                    \n                    \n            \n    <div class=\"cu-wideimage relative flex items-center justify-center mx-auto px-8 overflow-hidden md:px-16 rounded-xl not-prose  my-6 md:my-12 first:mt-0 bg-opacity-50 bg-cover bg-cu-black-50 pt-24 pb-32 md:pt-28 md:pb-44 lg:pt-36 lg:pb-60 xl:pt-48 xl:pb-72\" style=\"background-image: url(https:\/\/carleton.ca\/news\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/162\/forest-fire-bannerStock.jpg); background-position: 50% 50%;\">\n\n                    <div class=\"absolute top-0 w-full h-screen\" style=\"background-color:rgba(0,0,0,0.600);\"><\/div>\n        \n        <div class=\"relative z-[2] max-w-4xl w-full flex flex-col items-center gap-2 cu-wideimage-image cu-zero-first-last\">\n            <header class=\"mx-auto mb-6 text-center text-white cu-pageheader cu-component-updated cu-pageheader--center md:mb-12\">\n\n                                    <h1 class=\"cu-prose-first-last font-semibold mb-2 text-3xl md:text-4xl lg:text-5xl lg:leading-[3.5rem] cu-pageheader--center text-center mx-auto after:left-px\">\n                        Fighting Forest Fires with Modelling and Simulation\n                    <\/h1>\n                \n                            <\/header>\n        <\/div>\n\n                    <svg xmlns=\"http:\/\/www.w3.org\/2000\/svg\" class=\"absolute bottom-0 w-full z-[1]\" fill=\"none\" viewbox=\"0 0 1280 312\">\n                <path fill=\"#fff\" d=\"M26.412 315.608c-.602-.268-6.655-2.412-13.524-4.769a1943.84 1943.84 0 0 1-14.682-5.144l-2.276-.858v-5.358c0-4.876.086-5.358.773-5.09 1.674.643 21.38 5.84 34.646 9.109 14.682 3.59 28.935 6.858 45.936 10.449l9.874 2.089H57.322c-16.4 0-30.31-.16-30.91-.428ZM460.019 315.233c42.974-10.074 75.602-19.88 132.443-39.867 76.16-26.791 152.063-57.709 222.385-90.663 16.7-7.823 21.336-10.074 44.262-21.273 85.004-41.688 134.719-64.193 195.291-88.413 66.55-26.577 145.2-53.584 194.27-66.765C1258.5 5.626 1281.34 0 1282.24 0c.17 0 .34 27.596.34 61.3v61.299l-2.23.375c-84.7 13.718-165.93 35.955-310.736 84.931-46.494 15.753-65.427 22.076-96.166 32.15-9.102 3-24.814 8.198-34.989 11.574-107.543 35.954-153.008 50.422-196.626 62.639l-6.74 1.876-89.126-.054c-78.135-.054-88.782-.161-85.948-.857ZM729.628 312.875c33.229-10.985 69.248-23.523 127.506-44.207 118.705-42.223 164.596-57.709 217.446-73.302 2.62-.75 8.29-2.465 12.67-3.751 56.19-16.772 126.94-33.597 184.17-43.671 5.07-.91 9.66-1.768 10.22-1.875l.94-.161v170.236l-281.28-.054H719.968l9.66-3.215ZM246.864 313.411c-65.041-2.251-143.047-12.11-208.432-26.256-18.375-3.965-41.73-9.538-42.202-10.074-.171-.214-.257-21.38-.214-47.046l.129-46.618 6.654 3.697c57.313 32.043 118.491 56.531 197.699 79.143 40.313 11.521 83.459 18.058 138.669 21.059 15.584.857 65.685.857 81.14 0 33.744-1.876 61.306-4.93 88.396-9.806 6.396-1.126 11.634-1.983 11.722-1.929.255.375-20.48 7.769-30.999 11.038-28.592 8.948-59.288 15.646-91.873 20.147-26.36 3.59-50.015 5.627-78.35 6.698-15.584.59-55.209.59-72.339-.053Z\"><\/path>\n                <path fill=\"#fff\" d=\"M-3.066 295.067 32.06 304.1v9.033H-3.066v-18.066Z\"><\/path>\n            <\/svg>\n            <\/div>\n\n    \n\n    <\/div>\n<\/section>\n\n<p>In 2017, British Columbia experienced its <a href=\"https:\/\/theconversation.com\/how-will-canada-manage-its-wildfires-in-the-future-86383\">worst wildfire season on record<\/a>. An estimated 12,000 square kilometres of land was destroyed, forcing 65,000 people from their homes and keeping the province in a <a href=\"https:\/\/globalnews.ca\/news\/3921710\/b-c-year-in-review-2017-wildfires\/\">state of emergency for 10 weeks<\/a>.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Scientists are hard at work analyzing the thousands of variables that influence the direction and intensity of wildfires \u2014 along with the factors that cause them in the first place \u2014 to prevent such disasters from occurring.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>But one of the issues they\u2019re facing is how to study something as dangerous, costly and utterly gigantic as a roaring forest fire without causing more harm than good?<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>\u201cYou use computer and mathematical models to mimic behaviour in the real world,\u201d says Prof. Gabriel Wainer, who teaches <a href=\"https:\/\/carleton.ca\/sce\/\">systems and computer engineering<\/a> at Carleton University out of the <a href=\"http:\/\/cell-devs.sce.carleton.ca\/ars\/\">Advanced Real-Time Simulation (ARS) Lab.<\/a><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Wainer and his students work in a specialized field called modelling and simulation, which involves creating extensive mathematical equations (models) and collecting and inputting large amounts of data into these equations to develop visualized computer programs (simulations) to solve problems.<\/p>\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-image alignfull wp-image-49037 size-full w-screen ml-offset-center cu-max-w-child-max px-4 md:px-6 lg:px-12\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" width=\"1200\" height=\"680\" src=\"https:\/\/carleton.ca\/news\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/162\/forest-fire-iStock.jpg\" alt=\"Carleton researchers are analyzing the thousands of variables that influence the direction and intensity of forest fires to prevent them from occurring.\" class=\"wp-image-49037\" srcset=\"https:\/\/carleton.ca\/news\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/162\/forest-fire-iStock.jpg 1200w, https:\/\/carleton.ca\/news\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/162\/forest-fire-iStock-300x170.jpg 300w, https:\/\/carleton.ca\/news\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/162\/forest-fire-iStock-400x227.jpg 400w, https:\/\/carleton.ca\/news\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/162\/forest-fire-iStock-768x435.jpg 768w, https:\/\/carleton.ca\/news\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/162\/forest-fire-iStock-700x397.jpg 700w, https:\/\/carleton.ca\/news\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/162\/forest-fire-iStock-200x113.jpg 200w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 1200px) 100vw, 1200px\" \/><\/figure>\n\n\n<div align=\"center\">\n<h2>Developing Forest Fire Models<\/h2>\n<\/div>\n\n\n\n<p><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>In many ways, modelling and simulation is all about application. \u201cWe sit down with an expert in an area of study, listen to what the problem is and develop simulations to model and simulate it,\u201d says Wainer.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Wainer and his students have helped experts study the transmission of contagious diseases, the spread of invasive insects, the complex behaviour of the human cell, the effectiveness of a nuclear emergency plan and the behaviour of large crowds of people, among other phenomena.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Wainer\u2019s specific area of expertise is methods research, which involves analyzing models before they are put into action to prevent error.<\/p>\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-image alignfull wp-image-49042 size-full w-screen ml-offset-center cu-max-w-child-max px-4 md:px-6 lg:px-12\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" width=\"1200\" height=\"680\" src=\"https:\/\/carleton.ca\/news\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/162\/forest-fire2-iStock.jpg\" alt=\"\" class=\"wp-image-49042\" srcset=\"https:\/\/carleton.ca\/news\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/162\/forest-fire2-iStock.jpg 1200w, https:\/\/carleton.ca\/news\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/162\/forest-fire2-iStock-1024x580.jpg 1024w, https:\/\/carleton.ca\/news\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/162\/forest-fire2-iStock-300x170.jpg 300w, https:\/\/carleton.ca\/news\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/162\/forest-fire2-iStock-400x227.jpg 400w, https:\/\/carleton.ca\/news\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/162\/forest-fire2-iStock-768x435.jpg 768w, https:\/\/carleton.ca\/news\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/162\/forest-fire2-iStock-700x397.jpg 700w, https:\/\/carleton.ca\/news\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/162\/forest-fire2-iStock-200x113.jpg 200w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 1200px) 100vw, 1200px\" \/><\/figure>\n\n\n<div align=\"center\">\n<h2>Developing a Common Language<\/h2>\n<\/div>\n\n\n\n<p><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>\u201cThe world is getting more and more complicated,\u201d he says. \u201cSimulations can help you deal with these complexities and find solutions to very complex problems. It\u2019s a common language people all around the world can understand.\u201d<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Wainer\u2019s work does not go unrecognized. This year, he was appointed to the board of the <a href=\"http:\/\/meetings2.informs.org\/wordpress\/wsc2018\/\">Winter Simulation Conference<\/a> for a five-year term, an \u201cinternational forum for disseminating recent advances\u201d in the discipline and a \u201ccentral meeting place for simulation practitioners, researchers, and vendors,\u201d according to the organization\u2019s website. This year\u2019s conference will be held in Gothenburg, Sweden, in December.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Wainer was also appointed to the position of director-at-large at the <a href=\"http:\/\/scs.org\/\">Society for Modeling and Simulation International,<\/a> the largest and oldest international society devoted to this field of study.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>\u201cIt\u2019s a huge honour,\u201d he says. \u201cI really want to have an impact on the students who study in my lab, to help them in turn have a major impact on the world.\u201d<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>In 2017, British Columbia experienced its worst wildfire season on record. An estimated 12,000 square kilometres of land was destroyed, forcing 65,000 people from their homes and keeping the province in a state of emergency for 10 weeks. Scientists are hard at work analyzing the thousands of variables that influence the direction and intensity of [&hellip;]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":410,"featured_media":49036,"template":"","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"footnotes":"","_links_to":"","_links_to_target":""},"cu_story_type":[13],"cu_story_tag":[1918],"class_list":["post-49035","cu_story","type-cu_story","status-publish","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","cu_story_type-research-discovery","cu_story_tag-faculty-of-engineering-and-design"],"acf":{"cu_post_thumbnail":"blueprint"},"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/carleton.ca\/news\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/cu_story\/49035","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/carleton.ca\/news\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/cu_story"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/carleton.ca\/news\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/cu_story"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/carleton.ca\/news\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/410"}],"version-history":[{"count":4,"href":"https:\/\/carleton.ca\/news\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/cu_story\/49035\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":98569,"href":"https:\/\/carleton.ca\/news\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/cu_story\/49035\/revisions\/98569"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/carleton.ca\/news\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/49036"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/carleton.ca\/news\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=49035"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"cu_story_type","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/carleton.ca\/news\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/cu_story_type?post=49035"},{"taxonomy":"cu_story_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/carleton.ca\/news\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/cu_story_tag?post=49035"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}