{"id":64433,"date":"2018-06-21T20:00:42","date_gmt":"2018-06-22T00:00:42","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/newsroom.carleton.ca\/?post_type=cu_story&#038;p=64433"},"modified":"2025-08-19T09:37:37","modified_gmt":"2025-08-19T13:37:37","slug":"summer-mosquitoes-according-scientist","status":"publish","type":"cu_story","link":"https:\/\/carleton.ca\/news\/story\/summer-mosquitoes-according-scientist\/","title":{"rendered":"Why your summer might be full of mosquitoes, according to a scientist"},"content":{"rendered":"\n<section class=\"w-screen px-6 cu-section cu-section--white ml-offset-center md:px-8 lg:px-14\">\n    <div class=\"space-y-6 cu-max-w-child-max  md:space-y-10 cu-prose-first-last\">\n\n        \n                    \n                    \n            \n    <div class=\"cu-wideimage relative flex items-center justify-center mx-auto px-8 overflow-hidden md:px-16 rounded-xl not-prose  my-6 md:my-12 first:mt-0 bg-opacity-50 bg-cover bg-cu-black-50 pt-24 pb-32 md:pt-28 md:pb-44 lg:pt-36 lg:pb-60 xl:pt-48 xl:pb-72\" style=\"background-image: url(https:\/\/carleton.ca\/news\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/162\/conversation-mosquitoes-1200w-1.jpg); background-position: 50% 50%;\">\n\n                    <div class=\"absolute top-0 w-full h-screen\" style=\"background-color:rgba(0,0,0,0.600);\"><\/div>\n        \n        <div class=\"relative z-[2] max-w-4xl w-full flex flex-col items-center gap-2 cu-wideimage-image cu-zero-first-last\">\n            <header class=\"mx-auto mb-6 text-center text-white cu-pageheader cu-component-updated cu-pageheader--center md:mb-12\">\n\n                                    <h1 class=\"cu-prose-first-last font-semibold mb-2 text-3xl md:text-4xl lg:text-5xl lg:leading-[3.5rem] cu-pageheader--center text-center mx-auto after:left-px\">\n                        Why your summer might be full of mosquitoes, according to a scientist\n                    <\/h1>\n                \n                            <\/header>\n        <\/div>\n\n                    <svg xmlns=\"http:\/\/www.w3.org\/2000\/svg\" class=\"absolute bottom-0 w-full z-[1]\" fill=\"none\" viewbox=\"0 0 1280 312\">\n                <path fill=\"#fff\" d=\"M26.412 315.608c-.602-.268-6.655-2.412-13.524-4.769a1943.84 1943.84 0 0 1-14.682-5.144l-2.276-.858v-5.358c0-4.876.086-5.358.773-5.09 1.674.643 21.38 5.84 34.646 9.109 14.682 3.59 28.935 6.858 45.936 10.449l9.874 2.089H57.322c-16.4 0-30.31-.16-30.91-.428ZM460.019 315.233c42.974-10.074 75.602-19.88 132.443-39.867 76.16-26.791 152.063-57.709 222.385-90.663 16.7-7.823 21.336-10.074 44.262-21.273 85.004-41.688 134.719-64.193 195.291-88.413 66.55-26.577 145.2-53.584 194.27-66.765C1258.5 5.626 1281.34 0 1282.24 0c.17 0 .34 27.596.34 61.3v61.299l-2.23.375c-84.7 13.718-165.93 35.955-310.736 84.931-46.494 15.753-65.427 22.076-96.166 32.15-9.102 3-24.814 8.198-34.989 11.574-107.543 35.954-153.008 50.422-196.626 62.639l-6.74 1.876-89.126-.054c-78.135-.054-88.782-.161-85.948-.857ZM729.628 312.875c33.229-10.985 69.248-23.523 127.506-44.207 118.705-42.223 164.596-57.709 217.446-73.302 2.62-.75 8.29-2.465 12.67-3.751 56.19-16.772 126.94-33.597 184.17-43.671 5.07-.91 9.66-1.768 10.22-1.875l.94-.161v170.236l-281.28-.054H719.968l9.66-3.215ZM246.864 313.411c-65.041-2.251-143.047-12.11-208.432-26.256-18.375-3.965-41.73-9.538-42.202-10.074-.171-.214-.257-21.38-.214-47.046l.129-46.618 6.654 3.697c57.313 32.043 118.491 56.531 197.699 79.143 40.313 11.521 83.459 18.058 138.669 21.059 15.584.857 65.685.857 81.14 0 33.744-1.876 61.306-4.93 88.396-9.806 6.396-1.126 11.634-1.983 11.722-1.929.255.375-20.48 7.769-30.999 11.038-28.592 8.948-59.288 15.646-91.873 20.147-26.36 3.59-50.015 5.627-78.35 6.698-15.584.59-55.209.59-72.339-.053Z\"><\/path>\n                <path fill=\"#fff\" d=\"M-3.066 295.067 32.06 304.1v9.033H-3.066v-18.066Z\"><\/path>\n            <\/svg>\n            <\/div>\n\n    \n\n    <\/div>\n<\/section>\n\n<p>As you pack your bags for the cottage or campground this weekend, don\u2019t forget to bring light clothes with long sleeves \u2014 and a truckload or two of insect repellent. <\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Spring has come and gone, so welcome to mosquito season. <\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>How much we enjoy summer in North America depends a lot on how many mosquitoes there are waiting for us outside. Their bites are itchy and their drone annoying, but there\u2019s also concern that mosquitoes carrying dangerous diseases are knocking on our door. <\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>So what makes some years worse than others?<\/p>\n\n\n\n<h2 id=\"is-it-a-good-year-for-mosquitoes\" class=\"wp-block-heading\">Is it a good year for mosquitoes?<\/h2>\n\n\n\n<p><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>You don\u2019t have to be an entomologist (a.k.a. an insect scientist) to notice that the mosquito population size can vary from year to year and place to place.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Last June, I couldn\u2019t set foot <a href=\"http:\/\/www.cbc.ca\/news\/canada\/ottawa\/flooding-mosquitoes-kanata-north-control-program-1.4115976\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">outside my Ottawa<\/a> home without being bitten. Meanwhile, Winnipeg was experiencing its <a href=\"http:\/\/www.cbc.ca\/news\/canada\/manitoba\/mosquitoes-trap-counts-winnipeg-1.4181194\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">lowest mosquito count<\/a> in four decades. <\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>This year is far from mosquito-free, but I can at least enjoy peace for about 10 minutes before they find me.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>What causes mosquito populations to balloon and shrink? In short, it\u2019s a combination of weather and climate   \u2014 mosquitoes are <a href=\"https:\/\/esajournals.onlinelibrary.wiley.com\/doi\/full\/10.1890\/04-1248\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">very sensitive<\/a> to their environment.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-image align-center\"><img decoding=\"async\" src=\"https:\/\/images.theconversation.com\/files\/224274\/original\/file-20180621-137734-b7j5u.jpg?ixlib=rb-1.1.0&amp;q=45&amp;auto=format&amp;w=754&amp;fit=clip\" alt=\"\"\/><figcaption class=\"wp-element-caption\">\n              <span class=\"caption\">Will your weekend be itchy or not? <span class=\"source\">(Shutterstock)<\/span><\/span><br>\n            <\/figcaption><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<p>Temperature and rainfall are <a href=\"https:\/\/esajournals.onlinelibrary.wiley.com\/doi\/full\/10.1002\/eap.1405\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">two major predictors<\/a> of mosquito abundance, and this is for a good reason: These two factors have a massive effect on their survival and ability to reproduce. <\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>How much it rains at one time, when it rains, how long a cold or warm spell lasted and when it happened all matter when it comes to predicting what kind of mosquito season lies ahead. <\/p>\n\n\n\n<h2 id=\"mosquitoes-like-it-warm-and-wet\" class=\"wp-block-heading\">Mosquitoes like it warm and wet<\/h2>\n\n\n\n<p><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Mosquitoes, like most insects, are cold-blooded, or ectothermic. Unlike us, their body temperature closely matches the temperature of the environment (air or water) around them. If it is cold outside, they are cold. If it is warm outside, they are warm. Any time spent outside of their comfort zone can slow or stop their development or even cause them to be <a href=\"https:\/\/www.annualreviews.org\/doi\/10.1146\/annurev-physiol-022516-034142\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">injured and die<\/a>.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>In order for most mosquito larvae to grow, temperatures need to be above a threshold, which varies, depending on the species, but is typically around <a href=\"https:\/\/www.tandfonline.com\/doi\/abs\/10.1080\/00222933.2011.590946\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">seven<\/a> to <a href=\"https:\/\/www.cambridge.org\/core\/services\/aop-cambridge-core\/content\/view\/6375ECAEF9B542ABB63F074E0972C855\/S0007485303000440a.pdf\/effect_of_temperature_on_the_development_of_the_aquatic_stages_of_anopheles_gambiae_sensu_stricto_diptera_culicidae.pdf\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">16 degrees Celsius<\/a>. <\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Since the larvae are entirely aquatic, they also need a source of standing water (like your flower pot) that will remain until they are ready to emerge as adults. <\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>This means cold or dry conditions that hit at the right time during larval development in the spring or summer can drastically reduce the number of adult mosquitoes looking for a meal a week or two later.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<h2 id=\"human-hunters-disease-spreaders\" class=\"wp-block-heading\">Human hunters, disease spreaders<\/h2>\n\n\n\n<p><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>We love to hate mosquitoes, but the vast majority of mosquito species do not directly impact our lives.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Mosquitoes, like most insects, are outrageously diverse: There are more than <a href=\"https:\/\/www.mosquito.org\/general\/custom.asp?page=mosquitoinfo\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">3,000 species<\/a> of mosquitoes buzzing about on this planet, and only a handful of those species actively hunt humans. <\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>And even then, only female mosquitoes feed on blood. The much more reasonable males instead drink flower nectar.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Unfortunately, some of these mosquito species are also far from being just a mild annoyance, as they can carry dangerous diseases. In Canada and the United States, we often hear about the threat of West Nile virus, which is <a href=\"http:\/\/journals.plos.org\/plospathogens\/article?id=10.1371\/journal.ppat.1000092\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">carried by local mosquito species<\/a> and can lead to serious health complications like coma and paralysis in a minority of cases. <\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>One of the best predictors of West Nile infection rates in Ontario is the <a href=\"https:\/\/bmcinfectdis.biomedcentral.com\/articles\/10.1186\/s12879-018-3052-6\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">minimum temperature<\/a> reached during February. If the coldest temperatures in February are warmer than usual, more people become infected with West Nile virus during the summer months.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>In tropical regions, people instead contend with malaria, yellow fever, dengue, chikungunya and Zika viruses. These viruses are all spread by mosquitoes, are severely debilitating and cause hundreds of thousands of deaths each year. <\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>When Hurricane Harvey hit Texas in September 2017, the flooding increased the mosquitoes\u2019 breeding habitat. So, the state sprayed 240,000 hectares around Houston to help <a href=\"https:\/\/www.the-scientist.com\/?articles.view\/articleNo\/50333\/title\/After-Harvey--Mosquito-Control-Ramps-Up\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">prevent an increase in mosquito-borne disease<\/a>.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>The fact that mosquitoes carry these diseases, rather than the mosquitoes themselves, led the Gates Foundation to label mosquitoes the <a href=\"https:\/\/www.gatesnotes.com\/Health\/Most-Lethal-Animal-Mosquito-Week\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">deadliest animals<\/a> on the planet.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Two of the worst offenders for spreading disease are the yellow fever mosquito (<em>Aedes aegypti<\/em>) and the Asian tiger mosquito (<em>Aedes albopictus<\/em>), which typically live in <a href=\"https:\/\/elifesciences.org\/articles\/08347\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">tropical and subtropical regions<\/a> where it stays warm and humid. The range of these mosquitoes also extends well into the continental U.S., <a href=\"https:\/\/www.cdc.gov\/zika\/vector\/range.html\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">particularly in the southern and eastern states<\/a>. However, they simply cannot survive northern climates with long and cold winters.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<h2 id=\"tinkering-with-climate\" class=\"wp-block-heading\">Tinkering with climate<\/h2>\n\n\n\n<p><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Suitably low winter temperatures typically keep tropical and subtropical insect species from becoming permanently established in areas closer to the poles with cold winters. Over the past few decades, however, climate change has led to documented changes in insect distribution patterns, including the <a href=\"http:\/\/science.sciencemag.org\/content\/sci\/349\/6244\/177.full.pdf\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">collapse of southern range limits<\/a> of bumblebees and the <a href=\"http:\/\/science.sciencemag.org\/content\/333\/6045\/1024.long\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">northward movement of many insect ranges<\/a>.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>As winters become more mild, the northern limits of mosquito ranges may also be shifting. Movement of the northern range limits are <a href=\"https:\/\/onlinelibrary.wiley.com\/doi\/full\/10.1111\/brv.12105\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">thought to happen<\/a> because milder winters allow species that can\u2019t usually hack it in the cold to squeak through winter alive, reproduce and establish themselves in a new location. <\/p>\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-image align-center\"><img decoding=\"async\" src=\"https:\/\/images.theconversation.com\/files\/224219\/original\/file-20180621-137708-1mfaho3.jpg?ixlib=rb-1.1.0&amp;q=45&amp;auto=format&amp;w=754&amp;fit=clip\" alt=\"\"\/><figcaption class=\"wp-element-caption\">\n              <span class=\"caption\">The Asian tiger mosquito, which can transmit the Zika virus, has been spotted in southern Ontario in Canada. <span class=\"source\">(Shutterstock)<\/span><\/span><br>\n            <\/figcaption><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<p>Mosquito trapping programs are active around the globe, precisely because monitoring and responding to mosquito populations is critical to global health. In the last few years (2016-2018), adults of both the yellow fever mosquito and the Asian tiger mosquito were found in <a href=\"https:\/\/www.wechu.org\/newsroom\/news-release-mosquito-trap-reveals-2-aedes-albopictus-species-area\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">Windsor, Ont.<\/a> (near the southernmost point of Canada), which suggests that these dangerous vectors could be a serious health concern in northern climates in the future. <\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Thankfully, none of the individual mosquitoes caught in Windsor have tested positive for any viruses.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>In an era of climate change, it\u2019s increasingly essential that we understand what environmental factors determine where insects can and will live, and how well they do. Understanding how insects respond to climate is absolutely critical to our food security and global health. <\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Only when we are armed with this information can we accurately predict the spread of invasive agricultural pests or disease vectors, like the bloodsucking mosquitoes that even entomologists despise.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<hr class=\"wp-block-separator has-alpha-channel-opacity\"\/>\n\n\n\n<p><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>This article is republished from <a href=\"https:\/\/theconversation.com\/institutions\/carleton-university-900\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">The Conversation<\/a> under a Creative Commons license. Carleton University is a member of this unique digital journalism platform that launched in June 2017 to boost visibility of Canada\u2019s academic faculty and researchers. Interested in writing a piece? Please contact <a href=\"mailto:steven.reid3@carleton.ca\">Steven Reid<\/a> or <a href=\"https:\/\/theconversation.com\/become-an-author\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">sign up to become an author<\/a>.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p><em>All photos provided by The Conversation from various sources.<\/em><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>&#8212;<br>\n<a href=\"https:\/\/newsroom.carleton.ca\/\">Carleton Newsroom<\/a><\/p>\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-image\"><img decoding=\"async\" src=\"https:\/\/counter.theconversation.com\/content\/98369\/count.gif?distributor=republish-lightbox-basic\" alt=\"The Conversation\"\/><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<p><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>As you pack your bags for the cottage or campground this weekend, don\u2019t forget to bring light clothes with long sleeves \u2014 and a truckload or two of insect repellent. Spring has come and gone, so welcome to mosquito season. How much we enjoy summer in North America depends a lot on how many mosquitoes [&hellip;]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":410,"featured_media":64467,"template":"","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"footnotes":"","_links_to":"","_links_to_target":""},"cu_story_type":[1623],"cu_story_tag":[],"class_list":["post-64433","cu_story","type-cu_story","status-publish","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","cu_story_type-expert-perspectives"],"acf":{"cu_post_thumbnail":"blueprint"},"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/carleton.ca\/news\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/cu_story\/64433","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/carleton.ca\/news\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/cu_story"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/carleton.ca\/news\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/cu_story"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/carleton.ca\/news\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/410"}],"version-history":[{"count":3,"href":"https:\/\/carleton.ca\/news\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/cu_story\/64433\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":64525,"href":"https:\/\/carleton.ca\/news\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/cu_story\/64433\/revisions\/64525"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/carleton.ca\/news\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/64467"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/carleton.ca\/news\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=64433"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"cu_story_type","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/carleton.ca\/news\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/cu_story_type?post=64433"},{"taxonomy":"cu_story_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/carleton.ca\/news\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/cu_story_tag?post=64433"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}