{"id":81907,"date":"2022-04-18T12:00:19","date_gmt":"2022-04-18T16:00:19","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/newsroom.carleton.ca\/?post_type=cu_story&#038;p=81907"},"modified":"2025-08-19T09:37:10","modified_gmt":"2025-08-19T13:37:10","slug":"optimism-experts-climate-change","status":"publish","type":"cu_story","link":"https:\/\/carleton.ca\/news\/story\/optimism-experts-climate-change\/","title":{"rendered":"Climate change will transform how we live, but these tech and policy experts see reason for optimism"},"content":{"rendered":"\n<section class=\"w-screen px-6 cu-section cu-section--white ml-offset-center md:px-8 lg:px-14\">\n    <div class=\"space-y-6 cu-max-w-child-max  md:space-y-10 cu-prose-first-last\">\n\n        \n                    \n                    \n            \n    <div class=\"cu-wideimage relative flex items-center justify-center mx-auto px-8 overflow-hidden md:px-16 rounded-xl not-prose  my-6 md:my-12 first:mt-0 bg-opacity-50 bg-cover bg-cu-black-50 pt-24 pb-32 md:pt-28 md:pb-44 lg:pt-36 lg:pb-60 xl:pt-48 xl:pb-72\" style=\"background-image: url(https:\/\/carleton.ca\/news\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/162\/climate-change-tech-1200w-1.jpg); background-position: 50% 50%;\">\n\n                    <div class=\"absolute top-0 w-full h-screen\" style=\"background-color:rgba(0,0,0,0.600);\"><\/div>\n        \n        <div class=\"relative z-[2] max-w-4xl w-full flex flex-col items-center gap-2 cu-wideimage-image cu-zero-first-last\">\n            <header class=\"mx-auto mb-6 text-center text-white cu-pageheader cu-component-updated cu-pageheader--center md:mb-12\">\n\n                                    <h1 class=\"cu-prose-first-last font-semibold mb-2 text-3xl md:text-4xl lg:text-5xl lg:leading-[3.5rem] cu-pageheader--center text-center mx-auto after:left-px\">\n                        Climate change will transform how we live, but these tech and policy experts see reason for optimism\n                    <\/h1>\n                \n                            <\/header>\n        <\/div>\n\n                    <svg xmlns=\"http:\/\/www.w3.org\/2000\/svg\" class=\"absolute bottom-0 w-full z-[1]\" fill=\"none\" viewbox=\"0 0 1280 312\">\n                <path fill=\"#fff\" d=\"M26.412 315.608c-.602-.268-6.655-2.412-13.524-4.769a1943.84 1943.84 0 0 1-14.682-5.144l-2.276-.858v-5.358c0-4.876.086-5.358.773-5.09 1.674.643 21.38 5.84 34.646 9.109 14.682 3.59 28.935 6.858 45.936 10.449l9.874 2.089H57.322c-16.4 0-30.31-.16-30.91-.428ZM460.019 315.233c42.974-10.074 75.602-19.88 132.443-39.867 76.16-26.791 152.063-57.709 222.385-90.663 16.7-7.823 21.336-10.074 44.262-21.273 85.004-41.688 134.719-64.193 195.291-88.413 66.55-26.577 145.2-53.584 194.27-66.765C1258.5 5.626 1281.34 0 1282.24 0c.17 0 .34 27.596.34 61.3v61.299l-2.23.375c-84.7 13.718-165.93 35.955-310.736 84.931-46.494 15.753-65.427 22.076-96.166 32.15-9.102 3-24.814 8.198-34.989 11.574-107.543 35.954-153.008 50.422-196.626 62.639l-6.74 1.876-89.126-.054c-78.135-.054-88.782-.161-85.948-.857ZM729.628 312.875c33.229-10.985 69.248-23.523 127.506-44.207 118.705-42.223 164.596-57.709 217.446-73.302 2.62-.75 8.29-2.465 12.67-3.751 56.19-16.772 126.94-33.597 184.17-43.671 5.07-.91 9.66-1.768 10.22-1.875l.94-.161v170.236l-281.28-.054H719.968l9.66-3.215ZM246.864 313.411c-65.041-2.251-143.047-12.11-208.432-26.256-18.375-3.965-41.73-9.538-42.202-10.074-.171-.214-.257-21.38-.214-47.046l.129-46.618 6.654 3.697c57.313 32.043 118.491 56.531 197.699 79.143 40.313 11.521 83.459 18.058 138.669 21.059 15.584.857 65.685.857 81.14 0 33.744-1.876 61.306-4.93 88.396-9.806 6.396-1.126 11.634-1.983 11.722-1.929.255.375-20.48 7.769-30.999 11.038-28.592 8.948-59.288 15.646-91.873 20.147-26.36 3.59-50.015 5.627-78.35 6.698-15.584.59-55.209.59-72.339-.053Z\"><\/path>\n                <path fill=\"#fff\" d=\"M-3.066 295.067 32.06 304.1v9.033H-3.066v-18.066Z\"><\/path>\n            <\/svg>\n            <\/div>\n\n    \n\n    <\/div>\n<\/section>\n\n<p>This article is <a href=\"https:\/\/theconversation.com\/climate-change-will-transform-how-we-live-but-these-tech-and-policy-experts-see-reason-for-optimism-180961\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\" target=\"_blank\">republished<\/a> from The Conversation under a Creative Commons licence. All photos provided by <a href=\"https:\/\/theconversation.com\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\" target=\"_blank\">The Conversation<\/a> from various sources.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<hr class=\"wp-block-separator has-alpha-channel-opacity\"\/>\n\n\n\n<p><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>It\u2019s easy to feel pessimistic when scientists around the world are warning that climate change has advanced so far, it\u2019s now inevitable that societies will either <a href=\"https:\/\/www.ipcc.ch\/report\/sixth-assessment-report-working-group-ii\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">transform themselves or be transformed<\/a>. But as <a href=\"https:\/\/scholar.google.com\/citations?user=pR5kLz0AAAAJ&amp;hl=en\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">two of the<\/a> <a href=\"https:\/\/scholar.google.com\/citations?user=GUE7UxIAAAAJ&amp;hl=en\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">authors<\/a> of a recent <a href=\"https:\/\/www.ipcc.ch\/assessment-report\/ar6\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">international climate report<\/a>, we also see reason for optimism.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>The latest reports from the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change discuss changes ahead, but they also describe how existing solutions can <a href=\"https:\/\/www.ipcc.ch\/report\/sixth-assessment-report-working-group-3\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">reduce greenhouse gas emissions<\/a> and <a href=\"https:\/\/www.ipcc.ch\/report\/sixth-assessment-report-working-group-ii\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">help people adjust<\/a> to impacts of climate change that can\u2019t be avoided.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>The problem is that these solutions aren\u2019t being deployed fast enough. In addition to <a href=\"https:\/\/theconversation.com\/what-big-oil-knew-about-climate-change-in-its-own-words-170642\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">push-back from industries<\/a>, people\u2019s <a href=\"https:\/\/www.inc.com\/scott-mautz\/science-says-this-is-why-you-fear-change-and-what-to-do-about-it.html\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">fear of change<\/a> has helped maintain the status quo. <\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>To slow climate change and adapt to the damage already underway, the world will have to shift how it generates and uses energy, transports people and goods, designs buildings and grows food. That starts with embracing innovation and change.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<h2 id=\"fear-of-change-can-lead-to-worsening-change\" class=\"wp-block-heading\">Fear of change can lead to worsening change<\/h2>\n\n\n\n<p>From the industrial revolution to the rise of social media, societies have undergone fundamental changes in how people live and understand their place in the world.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Some transformations are widely regarded as bad, including many of those connected to climate change. For example, about half the world\u2019s coral reef <a href=\"https:\/\/theconversation.com\/coral-reefs-are-dying-as-climate-change-decimates-ocean-ecosystems-vital-to-fish-and-humans-164743\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">ecosystems have died<\/a> because of <a href=\"https:\/\/gcrmn.net\/2020-report\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">increasing heat and acidity in the oceans<\/a>. Island nations like Kiribati and coastal communities, including in Louisiana and Alaska, are <a href=\"https:\/\/www.nrdc.org\/stories\/these-photographs-show-how-rising-sea-connects-us-all\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">losing land into rising seas<\/a>.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-embed\"><div class=\"wp-block-embed__wrapper\">\n<iframe loading=\"lazy\" title=\"Kiribati: Battling for Survival (Rising Sea Levels)\" width=\"500\" height=\"281\" src=\"https:\/\/www.youtube.com\/embed\/hW9EAkqu6aY?feature=oembed\" frameborder=\"0\" allow=\"accelerometer; autoplay; clipboard-write; encrypted-media; gyroscope; picture-in-picture; web-share\" referrerpolicy=\"strict-origin-when-cross-origin\" allowfullscreen><\/iframe>\n<\/div><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<p>Other transformations have had both good and bad effects. The <a href=\"https:\/\/hbr.org\/2018\/03\/research-the-industrial-revolution-left-psychological-scars-that-can-still-be-seen-today\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">industrial revolution<\/a> vastly raised standards of living for many people, but it spawned inequality, social disruption and environmental destruction.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>People often resist transformation because their fear of losing what they have is more powerful than knowing they might gain something better. Wanting to retain things as they are \u2013 known as <a href=\"https:\/\/www.behavioraleconomics.com\/resources\/mini-encyclopedia-of-be\/status-quo-bias\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">status quo bias<\/a> \u2013 explains all sorts of individual decisions, from sticking with incumbent politicians to <a href=\"https:\/\/scholar.harvard.edu\/files\/rzeckhauser\/files\/status_quo_bias_in_decision_making.pdf\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">not enrolling in retirement or health plans<\/a> even when the alternatives may be rationally better. <\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>This effect may be even more pronounced for larger changes. In the past, delaying inevitable change has led to transformations that are unnecessarily harsh, such as the <a href=\"https:\/\/doi.org\/10.1111\/j.1548-1433.2008.00041.x\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">collapse of some 13th-century civilizations<\/a> in what is now the U.S. Southwest. As more people <a href=\"https:\/\/news.gallup.com\/poll\/391508\/extreme-weather-affected-one-three-americans.aspx\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">experience the harms of climate change firsthand<\/a>, they may begin to realize that transformation is inevitable and embrace new solutions. <\/p>\n\n\n\n<h2 id=\"a-mix-of-good-and-bad\" class=\"wp-block-heading\">A mix of good and bad<\/h2>\n\n\n\n<p>The IPCC reports make clear that the future inevitably involves more and larger climate-related transformations. The question is what the mix of good and bad will be in those transformations.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>If countries allow greenhouse gas emissions to continue at a high rate and communities adapt only incrementally to the resulting climate change, the transformations will be mostly forced and <a href=\"https:\/\/theconversation.com\/transformational-change-is-coming-to-how-people-live-on-earth-un-climate-adaptation-report-warns-which-path-will-humanity-choose-177604\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">mostly bad<\/a>. <\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>For example, a riverside town might raise its levees as spring flooding worsens. At some point, as the scale of flooding increases, such adaptation hits its limits. The levees necessary to hold back the water may become too expensive or so intrusive that they undermine any benefit of living near the river. The community may wither away.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-image align-center zoomable\"><a href=\"https:\/\/images.theconversation.com\/files\/457261\/original\/file-20220410-42486-7gxv0w.jpg?ixlib=rb-1.1.0&amp;q=45&amp;auto=format&amp;w=1000&amp;fit=clip\"><img decoding=\"async\" src=\"https:\/\/images.theconversation.com\/files\/457261\/original\/file-20220410-42486-7gxv0w.jpg?ixlib=rb-1.1.0&amp;q=45&amp;auto=format&amp;w=754&amp;fit=clip\" alt=\"A person in a boat checks the river side of sandbag levee protecting a community during a flood.\"\/><\/a><figcaption class=\"wp-element-caption\">\n              <span class=\"caption\">Riverside communities often scramble to raise levees during floods, like this one in Louisiana.<\/span><br>\n              <span class=\"attribution\"><a class=\"source\" href=\"https:\/\/www.gettyimages.com\/detail\/news-photo\/dennis-barkemeyer-inspects-a-levee-constructed-around-a-news-photo\/114243924\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">Scott Olson\/Getty Images<\/a><\/span><br>\n            <\/figcaption><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<p>The riverside community could also take a more deliberate and anticipatory approach to transformation. It might shift to higher ground, turn its riverfront into parkland while developing affordable housing for people who are displaced by the project, and collaborate with upstream communities to expand landscapes that capture floodwaters. Simultaneously, the community can shift to renewable energy and electrified transportation to help slow global warming.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<h2 id=\"optimism-resides-in-deliberate-action\" class=\"wp-block-heading\">Optimism resides in deliberate action<\/h2>\n\n\n\n<p>The IPCC reports include numerous examples that can help steer such positive transformation.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>For example, renewable energy is now <a href=\"https:\/\/www.irena.org\/publications\/2021\/Jun\/Renewable-Power-Costs-in-2020\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">generally less expensive than fossil fuels<\/a>, so a shift to clean energy can often save money. Communities can also be redesigned to better survive natural hazards through <a href=\"https:\/\/theconversation.com\/how-to-build-wildfire-resistant-communities-in-a-warming-world-174582\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">steps such as<\/a> maintaining natural wildfire breaks and building homes to be less susceptible to burning.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-image align-center zoomable\"><a href=\"https:\/\/images.theconversation.com\/files\/458392\/original\/file-20220418-22-5bmfni.png?ixlib=rb-1.1.0&amp;q=45&amp;auto=format&amp;w=1000&amp;fit=clip\"><img decoding=\"async\" src=\"https:\/\/images.theconversation.com\/files\/458392\/original\/file-20220418-22-5bmfni.png?ixlib=rb-1.1.0&amp;q=45&amp;auto=format&amp;w=754&amp;fit=clip\" alt=\"Charts showing falling costs and rising adoption of clean energy which are increasing climate change optimism.\"\/><\/a><figcaption class=\"wp-element-caption\">\n              <span class=\"caption\">Costs are falling for key forms of renewable energy and electric vehicle batteries.<\/span><br>\n              <span class=\"attribution\"><a class=\"source\" href=\"https:\/\/www.ipcc.ch\/report\/sixth-assessment-report-working-group-3\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">IPCC Sixth Assessment Report<\/a><\/span><br>\n            <\/figcaption><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<p>Land use and the <a href=\"https:\/\/theconversation.com\/how-to-make-sure-bidens-infrastructure-plan-can-hold-up-to-climate-change-and-save-money-153869\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">design of infrastructure,<\/a> such as roads and bridges, can be based on forward-looking climate information. <a href=\"https:\/\/theconversation.com\/coastal-home-buyers-are-ignoring-rising-flood-risks-despite-clear-warnings-and-rising-insurance-premiums-179603\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">Insurance pricing<\/a> and <a href=\"https:\/\/theconversation.com\/sec-proposes-far-reaching-climate-disclosure-rules-for-companies-heres-where-the-rules-may-be-vulnerable-to-legal-challenges-179534\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">corporate climate risk disclosures<\/a> can help the public recognize hazards in the products they buy and companies they support as investors.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>No one group can enact these changes alone. Everyone must be involved, including <a href=\"https:\/\/theconversation.com\/what-is-the-social-cost-of-carbon-2-energy-experts-explain-176255\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">governments<\/a> that can <a href=\"https:\/\/www.eia.gov\/energyexplained\/renewable-sources\/incentives.php\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">mandate and incentivize changes<\/a>, businesses that often control decisions about greenhouse gas emissions, and citizens who can turn up the pressure on both.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<h2 id=\"transformation-is-inevitable\" class=\"wp-block-heading\">Transformation is inevitable<\/h2>\n\n\n\n<p>Efforts to both <a href=\"https:\/\/www.ipcc.ch\/report\/sixth-assessment-report-working-group-ii\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">adapt to<\/a> and <a href=\"https:\/\/www.ipcc.ch\/report\/sixth-assessment-report-working-group-3\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">mitigate climate change<\/a> have advanced substantially in the last five years, but <a href=\"https:\/\/www.ipcc.ch\/report\/sixth-assessment-report-working-group-i\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">not fast enough<\/a> to prevent the transformations already underway.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Doing more to disrupt the status quo with proven solutions can help smooth these transformations and create a better future in the process.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>&#8212;<br>\n<a href=\"https:\/\/newsroom.carleton.ca\">Carleton Newsroom<\/a><a href=\"https:\/\/newsroom.carleton.ca\">\n<\/a><\/p>\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-image\"><a href=\"https:\/\/newsroom.carleton.ca\"><img decoding=\"async\" src=\"https:\/\/counter.theconversation.com\/content\/180961\/count.gif?distributor=republish-lightbox-basic\" alt=\"The Conversation\"\/><\/a><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<p><\/p>\n\n\n\n<a href=\"https:\/\/newsroom.carleton.ca\">\n<\/a>\n\n\n\n<p><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>This article is republished from The Conversation under a Creative Commons licence. All photos provided by The Conversation from various sources. It\u2019s easy to feel pessimistic when scientists around the world are warning that climate change has advanced so far, it\u2019s now inevitable that societies will either transform themselves or be transformed. But as two [&hellip;]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":410,"featured_media":81908,"template":"","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"footnotes":"","_links_to":"","_links_to_target":""},"cu_story_type":[1623],"cu_story_tag":[],"class_list":["post-81907","cu_story","type-cu_story","status-publish","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","cu_story_type-expert-perspectives"],"acf":{"cu_post_thumbnail":false},"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/carleton.ca\/news\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/cu_story\/81907","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/carleton.ca\/news\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/cu_story"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/carleton.ca\/news\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/cu_story"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/carleton.ca\/news\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/410"}],"version-history":[{"count":3,"href":"https:\/\/carleton.ca\/news\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/cu_story\/81907\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":81918,"href":"https:\/\/carleton.ca\/news\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/cu_story\/81907\/revisions\/81918"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/carleton.ca\/news\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/81908"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/carleton.ca\/news\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=81907"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"cu_story_type","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/carleton.ca\/news\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/cu_story_type?post=81907"},{"taxonomy":"cu_story_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/carleton.ca\/news\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/cu_story_tag?post=81907"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}