{"id":3057,"date":"2026-11-11T12:51:10","date_gmt":"2026-11-11T17:51:10","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/carleton.ca\/npsia\/?post_type=cu_event&#038;p=3057"},"modified":"2026-11-11T12:51:11","modified_gmt":"2026-11-11T17:51:11","slug":"npsia-research-colloquium-canada-in-the-21st-century-a-nation-on-the-edge-of-forever","status":"publish","type":"cu_event","link":"https:\/\/carleton.ca\/npsia\/event\/npsia-research-colloquium-canada-in-the-21st-century-a-nation-on-the-edge-of-forever\/","title":{"rendered":"NPSIA Research Colloquium: Canada in the 21st Century \u2013 A Nation on The Edge of Forever?"},"content":{"rendered":"<header class=\"mb-6 cu-pageheader cu-component-updated md:mb-12\">\n    <h1 class=\"cu-prose-first-last font-semibold !mt-2 mb-4 md:mb-6 text-3xl md:text-4xl lg:text-5xl lg:leading-[3.5rem] relative after:absolute after:h-px after:bottom-0 pb-5 after:w-10 after:bg-cu-red after:left-px\">\n        \n    <\/h1>\n    \n        <\/header>\n\n    \n    \n    \n    \n            <div class=\"cu-buttongroup cu-component-updated flex flex-wrap md:flex-1 gap-3 md:gap-5 justify-start\">\n                                                                                                        <\/div>\n        \n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">NPSIA\u2019s Third Research Colloquium will take place <strong class=\"myprefix-text-bold\">November 19th from 10:20am to 11:30am<\/strong> with a presentation from <a href=\"https:\/\/carleton.ca\/npsia\/people\/david-carment\/\" data-type=\"cu_people\" data-id=\"193\">Dr. David Carment<\/a>, Professor at NPSIA with a paper titled <strong class=\"myprefix-text-bold\">Canada in the 21st Century \u2013 A Nation on The Edge of Forever?  <\/strong>This paper evaluates how systemic polarity and domestic leadership interact to shape Canadian foreign policy amid institutional socialization, regulatory lawfare, and engineered vulnerabilities. Bound by continentalist elite socialization, the Justin Trudeau administration treated U.S. coercion as a temporary aberration, reinforcing a state of managed subordination that left Canada exposed to unilateral shocks. This structural weakness is exemplified by Canada&#8217;s non-controlling entanglement in the Ukraine-Russia conflict and its diplomatic marginalization during the U.S.-Israel-Iran war. Conversely, Mark Carney\u2019s leadership capitalized on an emerging multipolar transition to break this paradigm, shifting from a reliance on external security guarantees to a strategy of endurance. Using the August 2026 CUSMA negotiation breakdown as a stress test for self-reliance, the Carney government &nbsp;rejected submissive bargaining&nbsp; in support of domestic industrial capacity and technological sovereignty against &#8220;weaponized interdependence&#8221;. This divergence &nbsp;stems from a clash between <strong>structural realities and individual leadership agency<\/strong>. While systemic theories explain the constraints of an asymmetric distribution of power, they do not dictate how a government responds. In Canada&#8217;s case, structural dependence is heavily mediated by the leader&#8217;s cognitive framework, prevailing policy ideas and self-imposed limits on policy autonomy. This shift&nbsp; finds contrasts between Global Affairs Canada (GAC) which operates on a legacy model of rules-based internationalism and the Privy Council Office (PCO) which considers &nbsp;engineered vulnerabilities as direct national security liabilities. Thus, the <a href=\"https:\/\/can01.safelinks.protection.outlook.com\/?url=https%3A%2F%2Fpolicyoptions.irpp.org%2F2025%2F02%2Fcanada-missed-us-shift%2F&amp;data=05%7C02%7CAnnMorneau%40cunet.carleton.ca%7C496c611a183742b6a81408df3fefff19%7C6ad91895de06485ebc51fce126cc8530%7C0%7C0%7C639299972740238993%7CUnknown%7CTWFpbGZsb3d8eyJFbXB0eU1hcGkiOnRydWUsIlYiOiIwLjAuMDAwMCIsIlAiOiJXaW4zMiIsIkFOIjoiTWFpbCIsIldUIjoyfQ%3D%3D%7C0%7C%7C%7C&amp;sdata=vn3G6e6N5851HF78P0x9%2F%2F21JGCW1%2FMOdT3T0GyRLIg%3D&amp;reserved=0\">central tension<\/a> in Canada\u2019s foreign policy &nbsp;statecraft is shifting from managing external threats to <a href=\"https:\/\/can01.safelinks.protection.outlook.com\/?url=https%3A%2F%2Fpeacediplomacy.org%2F2026%2F03%2F31%2Fdesigning-canadian-sovereignty-systematically-addressing-u-s-grey-zones%2F&amp;data=05%7C02%7CAnnMorneau%40cunet.carleton.ca%7C496c611a183742b6a81408df3fefff19%7C6ad91895de06485ebc51fce126cc8530%7C0%7C0%7C639299972740250224%7CUnknown%7CTWFpbGZsb3d8eyJFbXB0eU1hcGkiOnRydWUsIlYiOiIwLjAuMDAwMCIsIlAiOiJXaW4zMiIsIkFOIjoiTWFpbCIsIldUIjoyfQ%3D%3D%7C0%7C%7C%7C&amp;sdata=%2F3dEv5iWYpLy3wvf3JbGsZ4tEFi2Qh7BqlYrhPFDn4o%3D&amp;reserved=0\">managing<\/a> structural dependency. The <a href=\"https:\/\/can01.safelinks.protection.outlook.com\/?url=https%3A%2F%2Fhegelversusmarx.substack.com%2Fp%2Fgrey-zone-tactics-and-engineered-824&amp;data=05%7C02%7CAnnMorneau%40cunet.carleton.ca%7C496c611a183742b6a81408df3fefff19%7C6ad91895de06485ebc51fce126cc8530%7C0%7C0%7C639299972740260694%7CUnknown%7CTWFpbGZsb3d8eyJFbXB0eU1hcGkiOnRydWUsIlYiOiIwLjAuMDAwMCIsIlAiOiJXaW4zMiIsIkFOIjoiTWFpbCIsIldUIjoyfQ%3D%3D%7C0%7C%7C%7C&amp;sdata=d5oDXTG%2B9DuRaCTyPTUzyb9wjL5mJ3jTx6FsJ8qPz6k%3D&amp;reserved=0\">emerging challenge<\/a> is not simply to maintain alignment with allies, but to <a href=\"https:\/\/can01.safelinks.protection.outlook.com\/?url=https%3A%2F%2Fhegelversusmarx.substack.com%2Fp%2Fmapping-canadian-vulnerabilities&amp;data=05%7C02%7CAnnMorneau%40cunet.carleton.ca%7C496c611a183742b6a81408df3fefff19%7C6ad91895de06485ebc51fce126cc8530%7C0%7C0%7C639299972740271933%7CUnknown%7CTWFpbGZsb3d8eyJFbXB0eU1hcGkiOnRydWUsIlYiOiIwLjAuMDAwMCIsIlAiOiJXaW4zMiIsIkFOIjoiTWFpbCIsIldUIjoyfQ%3D%3D%7C0%7C%7C%7C&amp;sdata=XXwTzi7kONURxRjnWHrqCG%2FELRY2AYP0XlAu3jrn33s%3D&amp;reserved=0\">ensure that alignment<\/a> does not harden into <a href=\"https:\/\/can01.safelinks.protection.outlook.com\/?url=https%3A%2F%2Fpeacediplomacy.org%2F2026%2F01%2F20%2Fengineered-vulnerabilities-how-u-s-grey-zones-undermine-canadian-autonomy%2F&amp;data=05%7C02%7CAnnMorneau%40cunet.carleton.ca%7C496c611a183742b6a81408df3fefff19%7C6ad91895de06485ebc51fce126cc8530%7C0%7C0%7C639299972740282052%7CUnknown%7CTWFpbGZsb3d8eyJFbXB0eU1hcGkiOnRydWUsIlYiOiIwLjAuMDAwMCIsIlAiOiJXaW4zMiIsIkFOIjoiTWFpbCIsIldUIjoyfQ%3D%3D%7C0%7C%7C%7C&amp;sdata=%2Bq0Xbe4BcB7%2FJK22g9rCaP4iGu1SmQmHa6NrBUW%2FWTo%3D&amp;reserved=0\">vulnerability<\/a><strong>.<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\"><strong class=\"myprefix-text-bold\">The event will be held in RB 3224.<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\"><em class=\"myprefix-text-italic\">We will circulate the draft\u00a0 to those that register for the event.<\/em><\/p>\n\n\n<script>\nvar 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class='gform_description'><\/p>\n                        <\/div><form class='not-prose' method='post' enctype='multipart\/form-data'  id='gform_40'  action='\/npsia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/cu_event\/3057' data-formid='40' novalidate>\n                        <div class='gform-body gform_body'><div id='gform_fields_40' class='gform_fields top_label form_sublabel_below description_below validation_below' data-column-layout='fill'><fieldset id=\"field_40_1\" class=\"gfield gfield--type-name gfield--input-type-name gfield_contains_required field_sublabel_below gfield--no-description field_description_below field_validation_below gfield_visibility_visible\" data-group-id=\"4dade79a\" data-field-span=\"12\"><legend id='gfield_label_40_1' class='gfield_label gform-field-label gfield_label_before_complex' ><span class='gform-field-label__text'>Name<\/span><span class=\"gfield_required\"><span class=\"gfield_required gfield_required_text\">(Required)<\/span><\/span><\/legend><div 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