An Alliance in Trouble? Turkey and NATO in 2025NATO in 2025
Dr. Balkan Devlen, July 2020
The relationship between Turkey and its NATO allies are at its lowest point since the end of Cold War. In this paper, Dr. Balkan Devlen seeks to illuminate how relations between Turkey and NATO might look in 2025, and how Canada can play a constructive role in helping manage emerging disagreements between them. Building on insights from a March 2020 Workshop in Delphi, Balkan posits three alternatives identified as Muddling Through, Return to the Fold, and Breakup. He concludes that Muddling Through is the most likely future with only slim prospects for improvement in the relationship.