Burundi is at risk of sliding back into conflict. The peace process initiated by the 2000 Arusha accords remains unconsolidated. Although fighting has stopped, except for sporadic outbreaks of violence, underlying problems remain unresolved. The government is a prize because it is the most important source of wealth in the country, but a lack of economic development means that the prize is not large enough to provide payoffs to all the former enemies who are jostling within the terms of an uneasy power-sharing arrangement.

Burundi Risk Assessment