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Sunday, January 15, 2023

Haiti Fragility Brief 2023

Haiti Fragility Brief 2023 The African slaves who manumitted themselves from the French in 1804 changed their nation to its Taino name: “Ayiti”, or Haiti, means “high mountains”. The uneven terrain which covers much of the country’s 27,065km2 is home to the larger half of a mountainous watershed Haiti shares with the Dominican Republic.... More

Thursday, January 20, 2022

Marshall Islands Fragility Brief 2022

Marshall Islands Fragility Brief 2022  Located in the central Pacific Ocean, the Republic of the Marshall Islands (RMI) is a small island developing state (SIDS) that faces growing fragility. While not listed on most fragile state indices nor imparting negative spillover effect on neighboring countries, the RMI’s state of fragility requires... More

Monday, January 17, 2022

Venezuela Fragility Brief 2022

Venezuela Fragility Brief 2022 Once the richest country in Latin America, Venezuela currently rests in a delicate equilibrium between stability and fragility. The hybrid regime and rentier state characteristics of the government have meant that institutional frameworks create false illusions of adherence to democratic processes and rule of law.... More

Monday, April 19, 2021

Policy Project REDEEM Western Sahara

Policy Project REDEEM Western Sahara Project R.E.D.E.E.M., or Repatriation and Demilitarization Established in Morocco, is a track II, inclusive, and locally-based project with an initial 5-year timeframe and the possibility of renewal. The project will endeavour to improve the stability of Western Sahara through mediation sessions and youth... More

Monday, April 19, 2021

Policy Project SUCEED Somalia

Policy Project SUCEED Somalia The ceaseless conflict and insecurity that have continually plagued Somalia too often overshadow the people, communities, and livelihoods caught in between. Underlying these challenges are demographic stresses and socio-economic tensions that must be properly addressed for any meaningful progress to be made. With a... More

Monday, April 19, 2021

Policy Project DRIVER Somalia

Policy Project DRIVER Somalia Somalia has been plagued with decades of political and economic instability, leading to low levels of human development and weak governance. A major source of Somalia’s fragility has been its unstable experiment with democracy. Freedom House scores Somalia with a 1 out of 40 for political rights and a 6... More

Monday, April 19, 2021

Policy Project VOTE Somalia

Policy Project VOTE Somalia The stalled Somalia 2021 elections have the potential to worsen Somalia’s protracted conflict. The inability of the Federal Government of Somalia (FGS) to hold a secure and legitimate election is worsening clan divides and providing Al-Shabaab an opportunity to advance its position in the southern region of Somalia,... More

Friday, March 19, 2021

Integrity Watch Afghanistan  Research Methods Handbook

Integrity Watch Afghanistan  Research Methods Handbook The handbook is designed as a practical reference for researchers in the field, covering the how, what, and when of policy-oriented research. It is neither comprehensive in scope nor does it dwell on the theories underpinning its recommendations.   References with hyperlinks are included... More

Monday, December 21, 2020

Lebanon Fragility Brief Presentation

Lebanon at the Crossroads... More

Monday, December 21, 2020

Lebanon Fragility Brief 2021

Decades of sectarian politics, coupled with poor economic policies, have made it challenging for Lebanon to provide its population with basic services. The indicators are worrisome. The GDP growth rate is at -5.6% as of 2019 and the inflation rate is at 136%. Recent triggers such as the influx of Syrian refugees (1.5 million,... More

Monday, December 21, 2020

Chad Fragility Brief Presentation

Chad... More

Monday, December 21, 2020

Chad Fragility Brief 2021

Chad's trajectory is shaped by a history of conflict, ethnic cleavages, and unequal power relations. The Chad Fragility Brief 2021current President, Idriss Deby, has been in power for 30 years and will likely stay in office until 2033. During his time in office, the President's main priorities have been maintaining his privileged position and... More

Friday, December 18, 2020

Ethiopia Fragility Brief 2021

Ethiopia Fragility Brief 2021 As a cultural mosaic of over 80 diverse ethnic groups, interethnic tensions, power dynamics, and historical context are central to understanding all aspects of Ethiopia’s political, economic, and social affairs. Faulty democratic structures, declining legitimacy, persistent isomorphic mimicry, and a frail social... More

Friday, December 18, 2020

Burkina Faso Fragility Brief Presentation

Burkina Faso Fragility Brief... More

Friday, December 18, 2020

Burkina Faso Fragility Brief

Burkina Faso Fragility Brief 2021 For decades, the land-locked country of Burkina Faso has avoided the exogenous shocks and internal conflicts that have plagued so many of its neighbors. As a result, authoritarian rule has overseen the informal social systems primarily responsible for steady incremental increases in Burkinabé capacity. In 2014, a... More

Tuesday, September 8, 2020

Fragile and Conflict-Affected States in the Age of COVID 19: A 2020 Country Indicators for Foreign Policy Report

2020 CIFP Fragility Report Fragile and Conflict-Affected States (FCAS) remain more relevant than ever. After a brief period of declining fragility at the turn of the century, FCAS have become more prominent as their precarious situation worsens in a COVID 19 world. In the last decade or so, we have seen an increase in... More

Monday, April 6, 2020

Fragile States and COVID 19- Afghanistan Project

Fragile States and COVID 19- Afghanistan Project EXECUTIVE SUMMARY The upcoming intra-Afghan negotiations present an opportunity for Canada to strengthen women’s participation in the peace process. The meaningful inclusion of women in the peace process is essential for successful negotiations. Moreover, taking such initiative can strengthen... More

Monday, April 6, 2020

Fragile States and COVID19 – South Sudan Project

Fragile States and COVID19- South Sudan Project   Executive Summary Strengthening the capability, capacity and cooperation of small-holder farmers is essential in this moment of South Sudan’s Nuer-Dinka coalition government. Capitalizing on this cooperation is especially needed in Greater Equatoria, where the risk of conflict between groups... More

Monday, April 6, 2020

Fragile States and COVID19 – Zimbabwe Project

  Fragile States and COVID19- Zimbabwe Project Executive Summary Having held the record of the highest inflation rate in the world i, Zimbabwe is struggling to develop sustainable solutions to its multifaceted problems. Food security is one of the most pressing issues faced by the population today, with high levels of malnutrition and a... More

Monday, April 6, 2020

Fragile States and COVID19 – Lebanon Project

Fragile States and COVID19 - Lebanon Project Executive Summary To be implemented over a period of 5 years, the Canadian Lebanese Agreement for Economic Success (CLAES) is tasked with aiding in the economic development of Lebanon through the promotion of anti corruption practices and cooperation between Canada, Lebanon, and other relevant... More

Saturday, February 8, 2020

Backsliding and Reversal: The J Curve Revisited

Backsliding and Reversal: The J Curve... More

Saturday, February 8, 2020

The Normandy Negotiations: Renewed Divisions at Home and Opportunity Abroad

The Normandy Negotiations: Renewed Divisions at Home and Opportunity... More

Monday, January 6, 2020

Zimbabwe Fragility Brief 2020

In this policy brief we assert that Zimbabwe is mired in a fragility trap driven by weak legitimacy which, in turn, leads to capacity failures in a feedback loop that prevents the development of state resilience. Our analysis of the core CIFP indicator clusters concludes that, while state capacity is low and deteriorating in... More

Monday, January 6, 2020

Kosovo Fragility Brief 2020

At present, Kosovo is experiencing a legitimacy and capacity issue in its state of affairs due to systemic isomorphic mimicry. It is trapped in a feedback loop, fostering ineffective governance, decreasing international recognition, and weak service delivery from its institutions. The primary fragility drivers are governance and economy, whereas... More

Monday, January 6, 2020

Nepal Fragility Brief 2020

Since the end of the civil war in 2006, Nepal has maintained the peace, established a new constitution, held successful elections, and overall is on a trajectory towards stability and improvement of standards of living. Nepal was ranked the third most improved country on the 2018 Fragile States Index and fourth most improved for... More

Monday, January 6, 2020

Sudan Fragility Brief 2020

Sudan Fragility Brief 2020 Executive Summary Sudan has ranked as one of the most fragile states in the world for the past decade. Since the establishment of the interim government in August 2019, international donors such as the EU have expressed renewed commitment to aid after years of sanctions and dwindling aid inflows. Ultimately,... More

Monday, January 6, 2020

Myanmar Fragility Brief 2020

Executive Summary Myanmar is stuck in an authority-legitimacy feedback loop that has been reinforced by a rentier regime. Following the historical election in 2015 that was widely acclaimed to be free and fair, Myanmar remains a hybrid regime with horizontal inequalities along ethnic and religious lines. Bamar Buddhism and military power continues... More

Wednesday, May 8, 2019

2019 Ukraine Commission On Landmine And Other Explosives Alert, Notify, Educate, Remove

Executive Summary Too often lost amidst the headlines of a conflict are the people, communities, and livelihoods caught between the major players. In Ukraine, violence between central government forces and Donbas region separatists has had profound and tragic consequences for civilian populations. Landmines and explosive remnants of war (ERWs)... More

Wednesday, May 8, 2019

2019 Sanitation Outreach And Accessibility Project – Cameroon

Executive Summary The nation of Cameroon was formed via a merger of two distinct colonial territories, one administered by the British and the other by the French. The two territories initially joined together in 1961 as a federation called the Federal Republic of Cameroon, but in 1972 the federation was abolished in favour of... More

Wednesday, May 8, 2019

2019 Democratically Engaged Libya

Executive Summary Libya remains in flux between violent conflict and dialogue. The notion of peace has the potential to materialize; with the upcoming National Conference, the two major factions have the option to decide on the future of their country. If the disputing sides choose to continue using channels of communications rather than violence,... More

Wednesday, May 8, 2019

2019 Canadian Action for Integration in Cameroon

Executive Summary To be implemented over a period of six and a half years, the Canadian Action for Integration in Cameroon project, or CAIC, is purposed with fostering a lasting peace between Anglophone Cameroonians and the national government. The project is twofold; consisting of a preliminary mediatory phase that is to be immediately followed... More

Friday, March 1, 2019

Jordan 2019 Fragile States Policy Brief

This policy brief finds that the Hashemite Kingdom of Jordan’s (Jordan’s) state legitimacy is declining. Jordan’s currently classified as a brittle state as the general function of the state is particularly fragile, yet the Jordanian government’s slow pace in curbing corruption and slow economic growth has resulted in large scale group... More

Friday, March 1, 2019

Haiti 2019 Fragile States Policy Brief

The following policy report focuses on the capacity and legitimacy trap Haiti faces resulting from its long history of fragility. Governance, security & crime, and economic/human development are identified as the main drivers of fragility in Haiti. We recommend the second policy option we have presented; the Government of Canada should call... More

Wednesday, January 16, 2019

Mauritania 2019 Fragile States Policy Brief

Executive Summary Mauritania is stuck in a capacity trap with horizontal inequalities across ethnic lines. The state’s limited capacity to provide basic public services, coupled with persistent inequalities, undermine its legitimacy and authority. Ethnic bias persists in all spheres of life. Discrimination targets Afro-Mauritanians and Haratine,... More

Saturday, January 12, 2019

Zambia 2019 Fragile States Policy Brief

Executive Summary After establishing multi-party democracy in 1991 Zambia is a state that has enjoyed a stable level of democracy and governance absent significant political violence and conflict. However the past decade has seen a steady decline in implementing effective economic policy, resource management and governance - leaving Zambia in a... More

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