Executive Summary Myanmar is stuck in an authority-legitimacy feedback loop that has been reinforced by a rentier regime. Following the historical election in 2015 that was widely acclaimed to be free and fair, Myanmar remains a hybrid regime with horizontal inequalities along ethnic and religious lines. Bamar Buddhism and military power continues to dominate economic, political, cultural and social spheres across the country. This report provides the political party, the National League for Democracy (NLD), with an analysis of the key drivers of fragility in Myanmar. The analysis focuses on trends and events relevant to the context for the next 10 months (December 2019 to October 2020), ahead of the 2020 election. Three policy options are provided to the NLD to mitigate and target the country’s fragility: develop a policy on economic diversification, diversify party membership, and create a working document for the ongoing peace process

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