Recent Reports

Thursday, April 19, 2018

Venezuela Project Proposal: The R.E.V. Initiative

As the economic, political, and humanitarian crisis continues in Venezuela, international assistance is required to address the grievances of the populace and alleviate the human suffering to prevent an escalation of violence and maintain domestic and regional stability. The R.E.V. Initiative is a proposal for a Track II strategy presented to... More

Thursday, April 19, 2018

South Sudan Project Proposal: E-HAT

This proposal provides the outline of Global Affairs Canada’s (GAC) Ethnic Harmony and Trust (E-HAT) in South Sudan Project. The recipients of this project are community leaders/elders and women leaders. The E-HAT project’s main objectives are to reduce intercommunal violence and increase trust between communities in South Sudan through the... More

Thursday, April 19, 2018

DRC Project Proposal

On March 14, 2018, DRC Prime Minister Bruno Tshibala confirmed elections would occur in December 2018, and current President Kabila would not be running, in order to introduce a free and fair electoral process.1 However, President Kabila is set to name a successor candidate in July 2018. Global Affairs Canada (GAC) has been chosen... More

Thursday, April 19, 2018

South Sudan Project Proposal: AJL

Land disputes have become a significant driver of conflict at the community level in South Sudan, whose population is largely rural in nature. Given that land is of central importance to South Sudanese people, the Access to Justice and Land (AJL) initiative is a four-year pilot project aimed at addressing conflict caused by land... More

Thursday, March 8, 2018

2018 Conflict Risk Diagnostic: Democratic Republic of Congo

In 1960, the DRC gained independence from King Leopold II and Belgium after nationalist uprisings in now called Kinshasa. The newly independent Congo quickly became plagued with scandal, corruption, and civil conflict. In 1965, Joseph Mobuto becomes President in a coup d’état, renames the Zaire, and remains in power for 32 years. In 1994,... More

Thursday, March 8, 2018

2018 Conflict Risk Diagnostic: Venezuela

This report analyzes the risk of conflict in Venezuela using the nine-cluster analytical framework developed by the Country Indicators for Foreign Policy (CIFP) project. Based on an examination of structural data as well as events for each cluster, economic performance, governance and human developed are deemed as high risks; militarization,... More

Wednesday, March 7, 2018

2018 Conflict Risk Assessment Report: South Sudan

This diagnostic report examines trends in structural factors in South Sudan since 2m013 based on risk assessment indicators, global trends, and key stakeholder interactions. Based on this assessment the conflict in South Sudan is likely to deteriorate due to high food insecurity, a collapsing economy, ongoing neglect of the 2015 peace agreement,... More

Wednesday, March 7, 2018

2018 Conflict Risk Assessment Report Palestinian Territories: West Bank and Gaza Strip

The ongoing conflict in the Palestinian territories has largely been characterized by its protracted history of armed conflict, fragile governance and high levels of political instability. Due to its history of armed conflicts, the Palestinian territories have produced millions of refugees, with 5.3 registered refugees as of 2017. The tensions... More

Monday, January 15, 2018

CIFP 2017 Fragility Report

Fragile and Conflict-Affected States (FCAS) remain more relevant than ever. After a brief period of declining fragility coinciding with a slow economic recovery since the 2008 global financial crisis, conflicts, violence and fragility are on the rise again. In the last decade or so, we have seen an increase in armed conflicts and violence... More

Wednesday, May 3, 2017

Country Indicators for Foreign Policy (CIFP)

Venezuela Project Proposal: The R.E.V. Initiative

South Sudan Project Proposal: E-HAT

DRC Project Proposal

South Sudan Project Proposal: AJL

2018 Conflict Risk Diagnostic: Democratic Republic of Congo

2018 Conflict Risk Diagnostic: Venezuela

2018 Conflict Risk Assessment Report: South Sudan

2018 Conflict Risk Assessment Report Palestinian Territories: West Bank and Gaza Strip

CIFP 2017 Fragility Report

Categorization of States From Strong to Weak

The-J-Curve-Revisited Backsliding and Reversal Among Unstable States

Canada Central African Republic Track II Economic Initiative

Canada Colombia Track II Peace Initiative

Canada CARES – Central African Republic Project

Yecon Initiative – Yemen Canada Track II Initiative

2017 Canadian Foreign Policy Review

Colombia 2017 Conflict Risk Assessment PPT

CAR 2017 Conflict Risk Assessment

Yemen 2017 Conflict Risk Assessment

Colombia 2017 Conflict Risk Assessment