Monday, January 6, 2020

Zimbabwe Fragility Brief 2020

In this policy brief we assert that Zimbabwe is mired in a fragility trap driven by weak legitimacy which, in turn, leads to capacity failures in a feedback loop that prevents the development of state resilience. Our analysis of the core CIFP indicator clusters concludes that, while state capacity is low and deteriorating in... More

Monday, January 6, 2020

Kosovo Fragility Brief 2020

At present, Kosovo is experiencing a legitimacy and capacity issue in its state of affairs due to systemic isomorphic mimicry. It is trapped in a feedback loop, fostering ineffective governance, decreasing international recognition, and weak service delivery from its institutions. The primary fragility drivers are governance and economy, whereas... More

Monday, January 6, 2020

Nepal Fragility Brief 2020

Since the end of the civil war in 2006, Nepal has maintained the peace, established a new constitution, held successful elections, and overall is on a trajectory towards stability and improvement of standards of living. Nepal was ranked the third most improved country on the 2018 Fragile States Index and fourth most improved for... More

Monday, January 6, 2020

Sudan Fragility Brief 2020

Executive Summary Sudan has ranked as one of the most fragile states in the world for the past decade. Since the establishment of the interim government in August 2019, international donors such as the EU have expressed renewed commitment to aid after years of sanctions and dwindling aid inflows. Ultimately, however, a successful transition... More

Monday, January 6, 2020

Myanmar Fragility Brief 2020

Executive Summary Myanmar is stuck in an authority-legitimacy feedback loop that has been reinforced by a rentier regime. Following the historical election in 2015 that was widely acclaimed to be free and fair, Myanmar remains a hybrid regime with horizontal inequalities along ethnic and religious lines. Bamar Buddhism and military power continues... More

Wednesday, May 8, 2019

2019 Conflict Risk Assessment – Uighurs in China

Executive Summary The Uighurs in China remain under threat of assimilation, repression and discrimination, slowly becoming marginalised in their indigenous home. Conflict has been ongoing since 1991, with sporadically occurring violence and ethnic riots. On April 24, 2013, 21 people were killed in Kashgar; July 2009 saw riots in Urumqi, with 197... More

Wednesday, May 8, 2019

2019 Canadian Action for Integration in Cameroon

Executive Summary To be implemented over a period of six and a half years, the Canadian Action for Integration in Cameroon project, or CAIC, is purposed with fostering a lasting peace between Anglophone Cameroonians and the national government. The project is twofold; consisting of a preliminary mediatory phase that is to be immediately followed... More

Tuesday, April 2, 2019

Cameroon 2019 Conflict Diagnostic

The nation of Cameroon was formed via a merger of two distinct colonial territories, one administered by the British and the other by the French. The two territories initially joined together in 1961 as a federation called the Federal Republic of Cameroon, but in 1972 the federation was abolished in favour of a unitary... More

Friday, March 1, 2019

Haiti 2019 Fragile States Policy Brief

The following policy report focuses on the capacity and legitimacy trap Haiti faces resulting from its long history of fragility. Governance, security & crime, and economic/human development are identified as the main drivers of fragility in Haiti. We recommend the second policy option we have presented; the Government of Canada should call... More

Wednesday, January 16, 2019

Mauritania 2019 Fragile States Policy Brief

Executive Summary Mauritania is stuck in a capacity trap with horizontal inequalities across ethnic lines. The state’s limited capacity to provide basic public services, coupled with persistent inequalities, undermine its legitimacy and authority. Ethnic bias persists in all spheres of life. Discrimination targets Afro-Mauritanians and Haratine,... More

Saturday, January 12, 2019

Zambia 2019 Fragile States Policy Brief

Executive Summary After establishing multi-party democracy in 1991 Zambia is a state that has enjoyed a stable level of democracy and governance absent significant political violence and conflict. However the past decade has seen a steady decline in implementing effective economic policy, resource management and governance - leaving Zambia in a... More

Monday, May 14, 2018

The Practical Certificate in International Conflict Prevention – NPSIA PTD

NPSIA-PT&D is pleased to announce the 2-day pilot of The Practical Certificate in International Conflict Prevention workshop offered in cooperation with the Canadian International Institute of Applied Negotiation (CIIAN). With the United Nations recent focus on conflict prevention, increased attention is now being paid to pre-emptive,... More

Thursday, April 19, 2018

Venezuela Project Proposal: The R.E.V. Initiative

As the economic, political, and humanitarian crisis continues in Venezuela, international assistance is required to address the grievances of the populace and alleviate the human suffering to prevent an escalation of violence and maintain domestic and regional stability. The R.E.V. Initiative is a proposal for a Track II strategy presented to... More

Thursday, April 19, 2018

South Sudan Project Proposal: E-HAT

This proposal provides the outline of Global Affairs Canada’s (GAC) Ethnic Harmony and Trust (E-HAT) in South Sudan Project. The recipients of this project are community leaders/elders and women leaders. The E-HAT project’s main objectives are to reduce intercommunal violence and increase trust between communities in South Sudan through the... More

Thursday, April 19, 2018

DRC Project Proposal

On March 14, 2018, DRC Prime Minister Bruno Tshibala confirmed elections would occur in December 2018, and current President Kabila would not be running, in order to introduce a free and fair electoral process.1 However, President Kabila is set to name a successor candidate in July 2018. Global Affairs Canada (GAC) has been chosen... More

Thursday, April 19, 2018

South Sudan Project Proposal: AJL

Land disputes have become a significant driver of conflict at the community level in South Sudan, whose population is largely rural in nature. Given that land is of central importance to South Sudanese people, the Access to Justice and Land (AJL) initiative is a four-year pilot project aimed at addressing conflict caused by land... More

Thursday, March 8, 2018

2018 Conflict Risk Diagnostic: Democratic Republic of Congo

In 1960, the DRC gained independence from King Leopold II and Belgium after nationalist uprisings in now called Kinshasa. The newly independent Congo quickly became plagued with scandal, corruption, and civil conflict. In 1965, Joseph Mobuto becomes President in a coup d’état, renames the Zaire, and remains in power for 32 years. In 1994,... More

Thursday, March 8, 2018

2018 Conflict Risk Diagnostic: Venezuela

This report analyzes the risk of conflict in Venezuela using the nine-cluster analytical framework developed by the Country Indicators for Foreign Policy (CIFP) project. Based on an examination of structural data as well as events for each cluster, economic performance, governance and human developed are deemed as high risks; militarization,... More

Wednesday, March 7, 2018

2018 Conflict Risk Assessment Report: South Sudan

This diagnostic report examines trends in structural factors in South Sudan since 2m013 based on risk assessment indicators, global trends, and key stakeholder interactions. Based on this assessment the conflict in South Sudan is likely to deteriorate due to high food insecurity, a collapsing economy, ongoing neglect of the 2015 peace agreement,... More

Wednesday, March 7, 2018

2018 Conflict Risk Assessment Report Palestinian Territories: West Bank and Gaza Strip

The ongoing conflict in the Palestinian territories has largely been characterized by its protracted history of armed conflict, fragile governance and high levels of political instability. Due to its history of armed conflicts, the Palestinian territories have produced millions of refugees, with 5.3 registered refugees as of 2017. The tensions... More

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