Recent Reports - Country Indicators for Foreign Policy (CIFP)

Mali is one of the world’s 19 most fragile countries. Its severe fragility is exacerbated by an ongoing conflict in the country’s north. We assess the country’s key drivers of fragility and develop policies to begin addressing the conflict and support the move out of fragility. Mali Fragile State Analysis and Policy... More

Monday, January 30, 2017

Honduras Fragile State Analysis and Policy Options

Honduras Fragile State Analysis and Policy... More

Monday, January 30, 2017

Somalia Fragile State Analysis and Policy Options

Despite billions in aid and a series of international interventions, Somalia has ranked as the world’s most fragile state for much of the past decade. This raises the question as to what is driving fragility within the country and why aid is seemingly ineffective in this context. This report is designed to provide the... More

Monday, January 30, 2017

Somalia Fragile State Analysis and Policy Options

Somalia Fragile State Analysis and Policy... More

Wednesday, March 16, 2016

CIFP 2016 Fragility Report

This report provides a global fragility ranking for a total of 198 countries using the Authority, Legitimacy, and Capacity (ALC) cluster scores. The ALC assessment enables us to evaluate the different characteristics of stateness, namely in terms of identifying the sources and extent of both weaknesses and strengths. It also assists policymakers... More

Thursday, March 3, 2016

Cyprus Conflict Risk Diagnostic 2016

The Northern third of the island is the primarily Turkish Cypriot & Turkish settler “Turkish Republic of Northern Cyprus.” Although arguably de facto sovereign, TRNC is recognized as a state by only Turkey. The internationally recognized government de jure of all of Cyprus is the Republic of Cyprus with its capital in the south.... More

Tuesday, March 1, 2016

Burundi Conflict Risk Diagnostic 2016

Since gaining independence from Belgium in 1962, Burundi has been racked by successive waves of political violence. In the past fifty years, Burundi has suffered three civil conflicts, eight attempted coups d’etat, and two genocides.i The most devastating conflict began in 1993 and was fuelled by instability in neighbouring Rwanda and the... More

Monday, February 29, 2016

Syria Conflict Risk Diagnostic 2016

This diagnostic report examines the recent trends in structural factors from 2011 to 2014 in comparison to the 2006 Syria Baseline Report produced by the Country Indicators for Foreign Policy (CIFP). It also examines the role of internal and external stakeholders, who have contributed to the ongoing conflict. The crucial obstacles preventing... More

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