Sunday, January 15, 2023

Haiti Fragility Brief 2023

Haiti Fragility Brief 2023 The African slaves who manumitted themselves from the French in 1804 changed their nation to its Taino name: “Ayiti”, or Haiti, means “high mountains”. The uneven terrain which covers much of the country’s 27,065km2 is home to the larger half of a mountainous watershed Haiti shares with the Dominican Republic.... More

Sunday, March 13, 2022

2022 Afghanistan Conflict Diagnostic

2022 Afghanistan Conflict Diagnostic The Taliban’s ascension to power in Afghanistan in August of 2021 has presented a fundamental shift in the trajectory of the future of the country’s political, economic, and humanitarian sectors. The lack of access to international assistance in the wake of the change in governance has led the country to... More

Sunday, March 13, 2022

2022 Ethiopia Conflict Diagnostic

2022 Ethiopia Conflict Diagnostic Since November 2020, clashes between government forces and the Tigray People’s Liberation Front (TPLF) have plunged Ethiopia into a civil war. This diagnostic applies a risk assessment methodology developed by the Country Indicators for Foreign Policy Project to identify trends and risk levels associated with... More

Sunday, March 13, 2022

2022 Burkina Faso Conflict Diagnostic

2022 Burkina Faso Conflict Diagnostic An early 2022 coup in Burkina Faso has manifested as the result of civil unrest related to the ongoing jihadist threat in the Greater Sahel region. Since 2014, militarization and jihadism have increased and the humanitarian crisis has worsened in the last year as the Burkinabés are being internally... More

Sunday, March 13, 2022

2022 Libya Conflict Diagnostic

2022 Libya Conflict Diagnostic Since November 2020, clashes between government forces and the Tigray People’s Liberation Front (TPLF) have plunged Ethiopia into a civil war. This diagnostic applies a risk assessment methodology developed by the Country Indicators for Foreign Policy Project to identify trends and risk levels associated with key... More

Thursday, January 20, 2022

Marshall Islands Fragility Brief 2022

Marshall Islands Fragility Brief 2022  Located in the central Pacific Ocean, the Republic of the Marshall Islands (RMI) is a small island developing state (SIDS) that faces growing fragility. While not listed on most fragile state indices nor imparting negative spillover effect on neighboring countries, the RMI’s state of fragility requires... More

Monday, January 17, 2022

Venezuela Fragility Brief 2022

Venezuela Fragility Brief 2022 Once the richest country in Latin America, Venezuela currently rests in a delicate equilibrium between stability and fragility. The hybrid regime and rentier state characteristics of the government have meant that institutional frameworks create false illusions of adherence to democratic processes and rule of law.... More

Monday, April 19, 2021

Policy Project REDEEM Western Sahara

Policy Project REDEEM Western Sahara Project R.E.D.E.E.M., or Repatriation and Demilitarization Established in Morocco, is a track II, inclusive, and locally-based project with an initial 5-year timeframe and the possibility of renewal. The project will endeavour to improve the stability of Western Sahara through mediation sessions and youth... More

Monday, April 19, 2021

Policy Project SUCEED Somalia

Policy Project SUCEED Somalia The ceaseless conflict and insecurity that have continually plagued Somalia too often overshadow the people, communities, and livelihoods caught in between. Underlying these challenges are demographic stresses and socio-economic tensions that must be properly addressed for any meaningful progress to be made. With a... More

Monday, April 19, 2021

Policy Project DRIVER Somalia

Policy Project DRIVER Somalia Somalia has been plagued with decades of political and economic instability, leading to low levels of human development and weak governance. A major source of Somalia’s fragility has been its unstable experiment with democracy. Freedom House scores Somalia with a 1 out of 40 for political rights and a 6... More

Monday, April 19, 2021

Policy Project VOTE Somalia

Policy Project VOTE Somalia The stalled Somalia 2021 elections have the potential to worsen Somalia’s protracted conflict. The inability of the Federal Government of Somalia (FGS) to hold a secure and legitimate election is worsening clan divides and providing Al-Shabaab an opportunity to advance its position in the southern region of Somalia,... More

Friday, March 19, 2021

Integrity Watch Afghanistan  Research Methods Handbook

Integrity Watch Afghanistan  Research Methods Handbook The handbook is designed as a practical reference for researchers in the field, covering the how, what, and when of policy-oriented research. It is neither comprehensive in scope nor does it dwell on the theories underpinning its recommendations.   References with hyperlinks are included... More

Sunday, March 14, 2021

2021 Belarus Conflict Diagnostic

In August 2020, a seemingly fraudulent election led to a wave of protests in Belarus. While the autocratic president–Lukashenko–claimed to have received 80% of the vote, this was contested by the opposition and viewed skeptically by most of the international community. Given Belarus’ strong ties with Russia and newer relationship with the... More

Sunday, March 14, 2021

2021 Belarus Conflict Diagnostic Presentation

2021 Belarus Conflict Diagnostic... More

Saturday, March 13, 2021

2021 Somalia Conflict Diagnostic

In many ways, the state of Somalia has become synonymous with ceaseless conflict, militia groups, and insecurity. This plague of insecurity has been brought on by many exacerbating factors in the latter part of 2020 and the beginning of 2021. The COVID-19 pandemic, uptick in insurgencies, and environmental adversities serve to highlight... More

Saturday, March 13, 2021

2021 Somalia Conflict Diagnostic Presentation

2021 Somalia Conflict Diagnostic... More

Friday, March 12, 2021

2021 Nagorno Karabakh Conflict Diagnostic

Following the increased tensions and arms exports that preceded the September 2020 conflict between Armenia and Azerbaijan in Nagorno-Karabakh, a November 9 ceasefire agreement was reached to limit the violent interaction between Armenia and Azerbaijan. This follows a long history of war and disagreements over the disputed region, and has been... More

Friday, March 12, 2021

2021 Nagorno Karabakh Conflict Diagnostic Presentation

2021 Nagorno Karabakh Conflict Diagnostic... More

Friday, March 12, 2021

2021 Morocco-Western Sahara Conflict Diagnostic

In October 2020, Saharawi refugees loyal to the Popular Front for the Liberation of Saguia el-Hamra and Rio de Oro, otherwise known as Polisario Front (PF), blocked a road near the village of Guerguerate, stranding goods and people in the demilitarized border zone in Western Sahara (WS). The emergence of Moroccan forces moving in... More

Friday, March 12, 2021

2021 Morocco-Western Sahara Conflict Diagnostic Presentation

2021 Morocco-Western Sahara Conflict Diagnostic... More

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