Monday, April 19, 2021Policy Project REDEEM Western SaharaPolicy Project REDEEM Western Sahara Project R.E.D.E.E.M., or Repatriation and Demilitarization Established in Morocco, is a track II, inclusive, and locally-based project with an initial 5-year timeframe and the possibility of renewal. The project will endeavour to improve the stability of Western Sahara through mediation sessions and youth... MoreMonday, April 19, 2021Policy Project SUCEED SomaliaPolicy Project SUCEED Somalia The ceaseless conflict and insecurity that have continually plagued Somalia too often overshadow the people, communities, and livelihoods caught in between. Underlying these challenges are demographic stresses and socio-economic tensions that must be properly addressed for any meaningful progress to be made. With a... MoreMonday, April 19, 2021Policy Project DRIVER SomaliaPolicy Project DRIVER Somalia Somalia has been plagued with decades of political and economic instability, leading to low levels of human development and weak governance. A major source of Somalia’s fragility has been its unstable experiment with democracy. Freedom House scores Somalia with a 1 out of 40 for political rights and a 6... MoreMonday, April 19, 2021Policy Project VOTE SomaliaPolicy Project VOTE Somalia The stalled Somalia 2021 elections have the potential to worsen Somalia’s protracted conflict. The inability of the Federal Government of Somalia (FGS) to hold a secure and legitimate election is worsening clan divides and providing Al-Shabaab an opportunity to advance its position in the southern region of Somalia,... MoreFriday, March 19, 2021Integrity Watch Afghanistan Research Methods HandbookIntegrity Watch Afghanistan Research Methods Handbook The handbook is designed as a practical reference for researchers in the field, covering the how, what, and when of policy-oriented research. It is neither comprehensive in scope nor does it dwell on the theories underpinning its recommendations. References with hyperlinks are included... MoreSunday, March 14, 20212021 Belarus Conflict DiagnosticIn August 2020, a seemingly fraudulent election led to a wave of protests in Belarus. While the autocratic president–Lukashenko–claimed to have received 80% of the vote, this was contested by the opposition and viewed skeptically by most of the international community. Given Belarus’ strong ties with Russia and newer relationship with the... MoreSunday, March 14, 20212021 Belarus Conflict Diagnostic Presentation2021 Belarus Conflict Diagnostic... MoreSaturday, March 13, 20212021 Somalia Conflict DiagnosticIn many ways, the state of Somalia has become synonymous with ceaseless conflict, militia groups, and insecurity. This plague of insecurity has been brought on by many exacerbating factors in the latter part of 2020 and the beginning of 2021. The COVID-19 pandemic, uptick in insurgencies, and environmental adversities serve to highlight... MoreSaturday, March 13, 20212021 Somalia Conflict Diagnostic Presentation2021 Somalia Conflict Diagnostic... MoreFriday, March 12, 20212021 Nagorno Karabakh Conflict DiagnosticFollowing the increased tensions and arms exports that preceded the September 2020 conflict between Armenia and Azerbaijan in Nagorno-Karabakh, a November 9 ceasefire agreement was reached to limit the violent interaction between Armenia and Azerbaijan. This follows a long history of war and disagreements over the disputed region, and has been... MoreFriday, March 12, 20212021 Nagorno Karabakh Conflict Diagnostic Presentation2021 Nagorno Karabakh Conflict Diagnostic... MoreFriday, March 12, 20212021 Morocco-Western Sahara Conflict DiagnosticIn October 2020, Saharawi refugees loyal to the Popular Front for the Liberation of Saguia el-Hamra and Rio de Oro, otherwise known as Polisario Front (PF), blocked a road near the village of Guerguerate, stranding goods and people in the demilitarized border zone in Western Sahara (WS). The emergence of Moroccan forces moving in... MoreFriday, March 12, 20212021 Morocco-Western Sahara Conflict Diagnostic Presentation2021 Morocco-Western Sahara Conflict Diagnostic... MoreWednesday, October 21, 2020Prediction of Intrastate Conflict Using State Structural Factors and Events DataIntrastate conflict is defined by the occurrence of one or more highly destabilizing events collectively termed a crisis of interest (COI). Two separate two-year periods between 1990 and 2005 were examined in twenty-five globally dispersed countries. COIs occurred in about 6 percent of all the half-monthly periods examined While model accuracy... MoreWednesday, October 21, 2020The Limits and Strengths of Conflict PredictionThere are two major reasons why policymakers pay greater attention to case studies than empirical models. First, they are generally older, having completed their primary education well before the behavioral revolution, and the government doesn’t provide much incentive to stay current in your field. Case studies are generally easy to understand... MoreTuesday, September 8, 2020Fragile and Conflict-Affected States in the Age of COVID 19: A 2020 Country Indicators for Foreign Policy Report2020 CIFP Fragility Report Fragile and Conflict-Affected States (FCAS) remain more relevant than ever. After a brief period of declining fragility at the turn of the century, FCAS have become more prominent as their precarious situation worsens in a COVID 19 world. In the last decade or so, we have seen an increase in... MoreFriday, May 1, 2020Early warning and COVID19—bridging the gap between analysis and responseEarly warning and COVID19—bridging the gap between analysis and response - The Hill... MoreMonday, April 6, 2020Fragile States and COVID 19- Afghanistan ProjectFragile States and COVID 19- Afghanistan Project EXECUTIVE SUMMARY The upcoming intra-Afghan negotiations present an opportunity for Canada to strengthen women’s participation in the peace process. The meaningful inclusion of women in the peace process is essential for successful negotiations. Moreover, taking such initiative can strengthen... MoreMonday, April 6, 2020Fragile States and COVID19 – Lebanon ProjectFragile States and COVID19 - Lebanon Project Executive Summary To be implemented over a period of 5 years, the Canadian Lebanese Agreement for Economic Success (CLAES) is tasked with aiding in the economic development of Lebanon through the promotion of anti corruption practices and cooperation between Canada, Lebanon, and other relevant... MoreMonday, March 9, 20202020 Afghanistan Conflict Diagnostic2020 Afghanistan Conflict... MoreMonday, March 2, 20202020 Lebanon Conflict Diagnostic2020 Lebanon Conflict... MoreMonday, March 2, 20202020 Bolivia Conflict Diagnostic2020 Bolivia Conflict... MoreMonday, March 2, 20202020 South Sudan Conflict Diagnostic2020 South Sudan Conflict... MoreMonday, March 2, 20202020 Zimbabwe Conflict Diagnostic2020 Zimbabwe Conflict... MoreSaturday, February 8, 2020Categorization of States: Beyond Strong and WeakCategorization of States: Beyond Strong and... MoreSaturday, February 8, 2020Grey-Zone Conflict : Implications for Conflict Management... MoreWednesday, May 8, 20192019 Conflict Risk Assessment – Uighurs in ChinaExecutive Summary The Uighurs in China remain under threat of assimilation, repression and discrimination, slowly becoming marginalised in their indigenous home. Conflict has been ongoing since 1991, with sporadically occurring violence and ethnic riots. On April 24, 2013, 21 people were killed in Kashgar; July 2009 saw riots in Urumqi, with 197... MoreWednesday, May 8, 20192019 Canadian Action for Integration in CameroonExecutive Summary To be implemented over a period of six and a half years, the Canadian Action for Integration in Cameroon project, or CAIC, is purposed with fostering a lasting peace between Anglophone Cameroonians and the national government. The project is twofold; consisting of a preliminary mediatory phase that is to be immediately followed... MoreTuesday, April 2, 2019Cameroon 2019 Conflict DiagnosticCameroon 2019 Conflict Diagnostic The nation of Cameroon was formed via a merger of two distinct colonial territories, one administered by the British and the other by the French. The two territories initially joined together in 1961 as a federation called the Federal Republic of Cameroon, but in 1972 the federation was abolished in... MoreSunday, March 17, 20192019 Libya Conflict DiagnosticLibyan elections are tentatively set for mid-2019 and have the potential to be a major stabilizing or destabilizing factor to the current situation. Without a constitution or central government with national authority, the country’s source of power and institutions remain fragmented. Despite some Libyans returning home due to a perceived... MoreSunday, March 17, 20192019 Ukraine Conflict DiagnosticWith 13,000 dead and 30,000 wounded, the Ukrainian crisis remains pertinent moving into 2019. Commanding the interest of stakeholders on both sides of the globe, this is a crisis that does not show any signs of slowing down. Caught between two monoliths of economic influence, Ukraine has seen ethnic and nationalist divisions be exacerbated... MoreSunday, March 17, 20192019 Yemen Conflict DiagnosticThe ongoing conflict in Yemen with multiple internal and external actors has the country facing severe risks of militarization, economic performance, human development, governance and political stability. Failure to progress in peace talks has international linkages, demographic stress, and population and heterogeneity at high risk. Only the... MoreMonday, April 2, 20182018 DRC – The Canadian Supplementary Stabilization Mission in the DRCOn March 14, 2018, DRC Prime Minister Bruno Tshibala confirmed elections would occur in December 2018, and current President Kabila would not be running, in order to introduce a free and fair electoral process. However, President Kabila is set to name a successor candidate in July 2018. Global Affairs Canada (GAC) has been chosen... MoreSunday, April 2, 2017Canada CARES – Central African Republic ProjectCanada CARES - Central African Republic... MoreWednesday, March 1, 2017Colombia 2017 Conflict Risk Assessment PPTColombia 2017 Conflict Risk Assessment... MorePage 1 Page 2 Page 3 … Page 5 Next » Share: Twitter, Facebook Short URL: https://carleton.ca/cifp/?p=20