Failed and Fragile States
The Failed and Fragile States project examines state fragility using a combination of extensive structural data and dynamic events monitoring to provide an overall picture of a country’s fragility and trend lines. The Fragile States brief provide a comprehensive analysis of the multi-faceted processes related to state fragility in a given country. The indicators that make up the structural data are divided into six clusters: Governance; Economics; Security and Crime; Human Development; Demography; and Environment. The events monitoring is done using a variety of domestic and international sources and is coded using a database specifically created for the project. Scenario generation based on trend lines is an important part of the analysis.
Recent Outreach
- Strategic Foresight and Warning Seminar Series, Zurich Conference on early warning and early response to conflict Presentation of research
- Meeting with Foreign and Commonwealth Office (FCO), London Presentation of research, discussion of potential collaboration
- UBC Conference on Failed and Fragile States, Vancouver Presentation of research
- Conference on the Vulnerability and Resilience of Small Island Developing States, University of Malta Presentation of paper, keynote address
- UNU/WIDER Fragile States Conference, Helsinki Presentation of research
- Meeting with Swiss Development Corporation, Bern Presentation of research and discussion of potential collaboration
- CIDA-sponsored Open Source for Effective Response Workshop, Ottawa Presentation or research, exploration of opportunities for open source collaboration on warning, response, and policy evaluation in the areas of conflict prevention and fragile state policy
- Presentation of Research, ISA, San Francisco
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