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Wednesday, May 8, 2019

2019 Canadian Action for Integration in Cameroon

Executive Summary To be implemented over a period of six and a half years, the Canadian Action for Integration in Cameroon project, or CAIC, is purposed with fostering a lasting peace between Anglophone Cameroonians and the national government. The project is twofold; consisting of a preliminary mediatory phase that is to be immediately followed... More

Friday, March 1, 2019

Jordan 2019 Fragile States Policy Brief

This policy brief finds that the Hashemite Kingdom of Jordan’s (Jordan’s) state legitimacy is declining. Jordan’s currently classified as a brittle state as the general function of the state is particularly fragile, yet the Jordanian government’s slow pace in curbing corruption and slow economic growth has resulted in large scale group... More

Friday, March 1, 2019

Haiti 2019 Fragile States Policy Brief

The following policy report focuses on the capacity and legitimacy trap Haiti faces resulting from its long history of fragility. Governance, security & crime, and economic/human development are identified as the main drivers of fragility in Haiti. We recommend the second policy option we have presented; the Government of Canada should call... More

Wednesday, January 16, 2019

Mauritania 2019 Fragile States Policy Brief

Executive Summary Mauritania is stuck in a capacity trap with horizontal inequalities across ethnic lines. The state’s limited capacity to provide basic public services, coupled with persistent inequalities, undermine its legitimacy and authority. Ethnic bias persists in all spheres of life. Discrimination targets Afro-Mauritanians and Haratine,... More

Saturday, January 12, 2019

Zambia 2019 Fragile States Policy Brief

Executive Summary After establishing multi-party democracy in 1991 Zambia is a state that has enjoyed a stable level of democracy and governance absent significant political violence and conflict. However the past decade has seen a steady decline in implementing effective economic policy, resource management and governance - leaving Zambia in a... More

Saturday, January 12, 2019

Takijistan 2019 Fragile States Policy Brief

Executive Summary The following policy brief adopts a development-oriented approach to investigate Tajikistan's experience with fragility, focusing on the questions of how and what weaknesses in the country's development are drivers for further fragility. This approach also aligns with the selected end user, the United Nations Development... More

Saturday, January 12, 2019

Mali 2019 Fragile States Policy Brief

Executive Summary This policy brief finds that Mali is suffering from a capacity trap: a failure to provide basic services (equally across the territory and across groups) has weakened the social contract and undermined the legitimacy of the state. Mali also suffers from an authority problem, linked to the state’s lack of capacity to... More

Monday, May 14, 2018

The Practical Certificate in International Conflict Prevention – NPSIA PTD

NPSIA-PT&D is pleased to announce the 2-day pilot of The Practical Certificate in International Conflict Prevention workshop offered in cooperation with the Canadian International Institute of Applied Negotiation (CIIAN). With the United Nations recent focus on conflict prevention, increased attention is now being paid to pre-emptive,... More

Thursday, April 19, 2018

Venezuela Project Proposal: The R.E.V. Initiative

As the economic, political, and humanitarian crisis continues in Venezuela, international assistance is required to address the grievances of the populace and alleviate the human suffering to prevent an escalation of violence and maintain domestic and regional stability. The R.E.V. Initiative is a proposal for a Track II strategy presented to... More

Thursday, April 19, 2018

South Sudan Project Proposal: E-HAT

This proposal provides the outline of Global Affairs Canada’s (GAC) Ethnic Harmony and Trust (E-HAT) in South Sudan Project. The recipients of this project are community leaders/elders and women leaders. The E-HAT project’s main objectives are to reduce intercommunal violence and increase trust between communities in South Sudan through the... More

Thursday, April 19, 2018

DRC Project Proposal

On March 14, 2018, DRC Prime Minister Bruno Tshibala confirmed elections would occur in December 2018, and current President Kabila would not be running, in order to introduce a free and fair electoral process.1 However, President Kabila is set to name a successor candidate in July 2018. Global Affairs Canada (GAC) has been chosen... More

Thursday, April 19, 2018

South Sudan Project Proposal: AJL

Land disputes have become a significant driver of conflict at the community level in South Sudan, whose population is largely rural in nature. Given that land is of central importance to South Sudanese people, the Access to Justice and Land (AJL) initiative is a four-year pilot project aimed at addressing conflict caused by land... More

Monday, April 2, 2018

2018 Venezuela – Relief and Engagement Initiative in Venezuela

As the economic, political, and humanitarian crisis continues in Venezuela, international assistance is required to address the grievances of the populace and alleviate the human suffering to prevent an escalation of violence and maintain domestic and regional stability. The R.E.V. Initiative is a proposal for a Track II strategy presented to... More

Monday, April 2, 2018

2018 South Sudan – Ethnic Harmony and Trust

This proposal provides the outline of Global Affairs Canada’s (GAC) Ethnic Harmony and Trust (E-HAT) in South Sudan Project. The recipients of this project are community leaders/elders and women leaders. The E-HAT project’s main objectives are to reduce intercommunal violence and increase trust between communities in South Sudan through the... More

Monday, April 2, 2018

2018 South Sudan – Access to Justice and Land

Land disputes have become a significant driver of conflict at the community level in South Sudan, whose population is largely rural in nature. Given that land is of central importance to South Sudanese people, the Access to Justice and Land (AJL) initiative is a four-year pilot project aimed at addressing conflict caused by land... More

Monday, April 2, 2018

2018 DRC – The Canadian Supplementary Stabilization Mission in the DRC

On March 14, 2018, DRC Prime Minister Bruno Tshibala confirmed elections would occur in December 2018, and current President Kabila would not be running, in order to introduce a free and fair electoral process. However, President Kabila is set to name a successor candidate in July 2018. Global Affairs Canada (GAC) has been chosen... More

Thursday, March 8, 2018

2018 Conflict Risk Diagnostic: Democratic Republic of Congo

In 1960, the DRC gained independence from King Leopold II and Belgium after nationalist uprisings in now called Kinshasa. The newly independent Congo quickly became plagued with scandal, corruption, and civil conflict. In 1965, Joseph Mobuto becomes President in a coup d’état, renames the Zaire, and remains in power for 32 years. In 1994,... More

Thursday, March 8, 2018

2018 Conflict Risk Diagnostic: Venezuela

This report analyzes the risk of conflict in Venezuela using the nine-cluster analytical framework developed by the Country Indicators for Foreign Policy (CIFP) project. Based on an examination of structural data as well as events for each cluster, economic performance, governance and human developed are deemed as high risks; militarization,... More

Wednesday, March 7, 2018

2018 Conflict Risk Assessment Report: South Sudan

This diagnostic report examines trends in structural factors in South Sudan since 2m013 based on risk assessment indicators, global trends, and key stakeholder interactions. Based on this assessment the conflict in South Sudan is likely to deteriorate due to high food insecurity, a collapsing economy, ongoing neglect of the 2015 peace agreement,... More

Wednesday, March 7, 2018

2018 Conflict Risk Assessment Report Palestinian Territories: West Bank and Gaza Strip

The ongoing conflict in the Palestinian territories has largely been characterized by its protracted history of armed conflict, fragile governance and high levels of political instability. Due to its history of armed conflicts, the Palestinian territories have produced millions of refugees, with 5.3 registered refugees as of 2017. The tensions... More

Monday, January 15, 2018

CIFP 2017 Fragility Report

Fragile and Conflict-Affected States (FCAS) remain more relevant than ever. After a brief period of declining fragility coinciding with a slow economic recovery since the 2008 global financial crisis, conflicts, violence and fragility are on the rise again. In the last decade or so, we have seen an increase in armed conflicts and violence... More

Wednesday, May 3, 2017

Categorization of States From Strong to Weak

Categorization of States From Strong to... More

Wednesday, May 3, 2017

The-J-Curve-Revisited Backsliding and Reversal Among Unstable States

The-J-Curve-Revisited Backsliding and Reversal Among Unstable... More

Sunday, April 2, 2017

Canada CARES – Central African Republic Project

Canada CARES - Central African Republic... More

Friday, February 3, 2017

Mali Fragile State Analysis and Policy Options

Mali is one of the world’s 19 most fragile countries. Its severe fragility is exacerbated by an ongoing conflict in the country’s north. We assess the country’s key drivers of fragility and develop policies to begin addressing the conflict and support the move out of fragility. Mali Fragile State Analysis and Policy... More

Monday, January 30, 2017

Honduras Fragile State Analysis and Policy Options

Honduras has exited fragility, but current trends raise concerns that the country may be stuck in a legitimacy trap or that conditions may worsen in the state, leading to continued or increased violence and impunity. Honduras’ legitimacy trap emerges from the consolidation of authority through an increase in authoritarianism and inequality under... More

Monday, January 30, 2017

Somalia Fragile State Analysis and Policy Options

Despite billions in aid and a series of international interventions, Somalia has ranked as the world’s most fragile state for much of the past decade. This raises the question as to what is driving fragility within the country and why aid is seemingly ineffective in this context. This report is designed to provide the... More

Wednesday, March 16, 2016

CIFP 2016 Fragility Report

This report provides a global fragility ranking for a total of 198 countries using the Authority, Legitimacy, and Capacity (ALC) cluster scores. The ALC assessment enables us to evaluate the different characteristics of stateness, namely in terms of identifying the sources and extent of both weaknesses and strengths. It also assists policymakers... More

Thursday, August 27, 2015

Effective Defence Policy for Responding to Failed and Failing States

Effective Defence Policy for Responding to Failed and Failing... More

Thursday, August 27, 2015

CIFP Fragile State Report – Sudan

CIFP Fragile State Report -... More

Thursday, August 27, 2015

CIFP Fragile State Report – Afghanistan

CIFP Fragile State Report -... More

Thursday, August 27, 2015

CIFP Fragile State Report – Lebanon

CIFP Fragile State Report -... More

Thursday, August 27, 2015

CIFP Fragile State Report – Uganda

CIFP Fragile State Report -... More

Thursday, August 27, 2015

CIFP Regional Fragility Assessment – Pakistan, Nepal, Bangladesh and Sri Lanka

CIFP Regional Fragility Assessment - Pakistan, Nepal, Bangladesh and Sri... More

Thursday, August 27, 2015

CIFP Fragile State Report – Palestinian Territories

CIFP Fragile State Report - Palestinian... More

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