This diagnostic report examines trends in structural factors in South Sudan since 2m013 based on risk assessment indicators, global trends, and key stakeholder interactions. Based on this assessment the conflict in South Sudan is likely to deteriorate due to high food insecurity, a collapsing economy, ongoing neglect of the 2015 peace agreement, fragmented rebel groups, a lack of control of government and opposition forces, as well as upcoming elections. The trends and events outlined below indicate that violence is predicted to continue and that humanitarian needs will also continue to escalate in the country, with aid workers challenged to safely access and provide for these needs. The danger of an escalating humanitarian crisis further threatens the tenuous state of ‘peace’ in South Sudan.

Read the Report: 2018 Conflict Risk Assessment Report: South Sudan