This report analyzes the risk of conflict in Venezuela using the nine-cluster analytical framework developed by the Country Indicators for Foreign Policy (CIFP) project. Based on an examination of
structural data as well as events for each cluster, economic performance, governance and human developed are deemed as high risks; militarization, international linkages and demographic stress
are moderate contributors to conflict risk; history of armed conflict, environment and population heterogeneity are ranked as low risks. While peaceful regime change and economic reform are
best outcomes, the humanitarian crisis is likelier to worsen, as a fractured political opposition and Russian and Chinese support will ensure that the current regime retains the reins.

Read Report: 2018 Conflict Risk Diagnostic: Venezuela

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