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Friday, December 18, 2020
Burkina Faso Fragility Brief 2021 For decades, the land-locked country of Burkina Faso has avoided the exogenous shocks and internal conflicts that have plagued so many of its neighbors. As a result, authoritarian rule has overseen the informal social systems primarily responsible for steady incremental increases in Burkinabé capacity. In 2014, a... More
Wednesday, October 21, 2020
Intrastate conflict is defined by the occurrence of one or more highly destabilizing events collectively termed a crisis of interest (COI). Two separate two-year periods between 1990 and 2005 were examined in twenty-five globally dispersed countries. COIs occurred in about 6 percent of all the half-monthly periods examined While model accuracy... More
There are two major reasons why policymakers pay greater attention to case studies than empirical models. First, they are generally older, having completed their primary education well before the behavioral revolution, and the government doesn’t provide much incentive to stay current in your field. Case studies are generally easy to understand... More
Tuesday, September 8, 2020
2020 CIFP Fragility Report Fragile and Conflict-Affected States (FCAS) remain more relevant than ever. After a brief period of declining fragility at the turn of the century, FCAS have become more prominent as their precarious situation worsens in a COVID 19 world. In the last decade or so, we have seen an increase in... More
Tuesday, June 23, 2020
Hill Times Canada's China-US Conundrum Though we must not have illusions about Canada’s relative lack of power in this triadic relationship, there is an alternative way of thinking about this situation, as our European allies are quickly learning. It’s okay to say no to both the U.S. and to China and be true to... More
Rethinking the Canada-US relationship after the... More
Friday, May 1, 2020
Early warning and COVID19—bridging the gap between analysis and response - The Hill... More
Monday, April 20, 2020
2020-4-20-Canada After... More
Monday, April 6, 2020
Fragile States and COVID 19- Afghanistan Project EXECUTIVE SUMMARY The upcoming intra-Afghan negotiations present an opportunity for Canada to strengthen women’s participation in the peace process. The meaningful inclusion of women in the peace process is essential for successful negotiations. Moreover, taking such initiative can strengthen... More
Fragile States and COVID19- South Sudan Project Executive Summary Strengthening the capability, capacity and cooperation of small-holder farmers is essential in this moment of South Sudan’s Nuer-Dinka coalition government. Capitalizing on this cooperation is especially needed in Greater Equatoria, where the risk of conflict between groups... More
Fragile States and COVID19- Zimbabwe Project Executive Summary Having held the record of the highest inflation rate in the world i, Zimbabwe is struggling to develop sustainable solutions to its multifaceted problems. Food security is one of the most pressing issues faced by the population today, with high levels of malnutrition and a... More
Fragile States and COVID19 - Lebanon Project Executive Summary To be implemented over a period of 5 years, the Canadian Lebanese Agreement for Economic Success (CLAES) is tasked with aiding in the economic development of Lebanon through the promotion of anti corruption practices and cooperation between Canada, Lebanon, and other relevant... More
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