Chad’s trajectory is shaped by a history of conflict, ethnic cleavages, and unequal power relations. The Chad Fragility Brief 2021current President, Idriss Deby, has been in power for 30 years and will likely stay in office until 2033. During his time in office, the President’s main priorities have been maintaining his privileged position and the development of oil for rents. Consequently, the drivers of fragility are most prominent in economic development and governance clusters, while demographic, environmental and human development are only marginally better. The state’s Authority, Legitimacy and Capacity, are all extremely weak. The state cannot monopolize violence throughout the country, is unable to provide public services to the population, and has not developed a strong state-society relationship. Projections for the next six months cover these issues, along with on-going conflict with Boko Haram and the impact of climate change. Three policy options are provided for the World Bank on anti-corruption and governance mechanisms throughout the election process, decentralized land and resource management, and infrastructure development for economic diversity. All three of these policies fit the World Bank’s mandate and address the state’s fragility.
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Chad Fragility Brief 2021