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Monday, January 30, 2017
Despite billions in aid and a series of international interventions, Somalia has ranked as the world’s most fragile state for much of the past decade. This raises the question as to what is driving fragility within the country and why aid is seemingly ineffective in this context. This report is designed to provide the... More
Somalia Fragile State Analysis and Policy... More
Wednesday, March 16, 2016
This report provides a global fragility ranking for a total of 198 countries using the Authority, Legitimacy, and Capacity (ALC) cluster scores. The ALC assessment enables us to evaluate the different characteristics of stateness, namely in terms of identifying the sources and extent of both weaknesses and strengths. It also assists policymakers... More
Thursday, March 3, 2016
The Northern third of the island is the primarily Turkish Cypriot & Turkish settler “Turkish Republic of Northern Cyprus.” Although arguably de facto sovereign, TRNC is recognized as a state by only Turkey. The internationally recognized government de jure of all of Cyprus is the Republic of Cyprus with its capital in the south.... More
Tuesday, March 1, 2016
Since gaining independence from Belgium in 1962, Burundi has been racked by successive waves of political violence. In the past fifty years, Burundi has suffered three civil conflicts, eight attempted coups d’etat, and two genocides.i The most devastating conflict began in 1993 and was fuelled by instability in neighbouring Rwanda and the... More
Monday, February 29, 2016
This diagnostic report examines the recent trends in structural factors from 2011 to 2014 in comparison to the 2006 Syria Baseline Report produced by the Country Indicators for Foreign Policy (CIFP). It also examines the role of internal and external stakeholders, who have contributed to the ongoing conflict. The crucial obstacles preventing... More
Sunday, February 28, 2016
Myanmar gained independence from Britain in 1948 and functioned as a representative democracy until a military coup in 1962. Myanmar became a military dictatorship, with the power of the military formally enshrined in the Constitution in 1974. Under the Constitution, the Army is guaranteed 25% of seats in the upper and lower chamber –... More
Since declaring independence in 1991, government corruption and economic turbulence have contributed to political unrest in Ukraine. With previous protests yielding little structural change, many Ukrainians have grown frustrated with the lack of action on promised reforms and are increasingly looking to EU integration as a way to move forward. In... More
Tuesday, February 9, 2016
The future of Ukraine remains uncertain. Although the Crimean secession was virtually bloodless, the position of the peninsula’s minority populations is still unclear. One year post-referendum, Crimea is de facto Russian territory, incorporated at both political and societal levels, whilst in Eastern Ukraine, hostilities have significantly... More
Tuesday, February 2, 2016
This report grades Justin Trudeau on his accountability to his election promises. After his election at the 23rd Prime Minister of Canada on November 4, 2015, Justin Trudeau made a number of foreign policy commitments, some more specific than others. This report card evaluates the Liberal government's performance relative to the pledges made... More
Tuesday, December 8, 2015
Research on state fragility has seldom examined questions of persistence and transition of states. We develop a sixfold typology of states to examine how key structural features of states evolve and contribute to successful exits from fragility in some cases and persistence in others. Particularly worrisome is the lack of positive transition among... More
For about a decade now, practitioners and commentators of international politics have paid increasing attention to the issue of “failed” or “fragile states”. The overall results of so-called “external interventions” - the term here is used extensively and includes both coercive and non-coercive forms – in fragile contexts are mixed.... More
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