Home / Conflict Risk Assessment - Methodology Reports
Tuesday, September 3, 2024
Foreign Interference in a Geopolitical Context PIFI Submission The threat of foreign interference continues to grow and evolve as the geopolitical structure of the world changes. Canada is often targeted by adversaries, and allies, who seek to advance their interests through transnational means, such as mobilising diaspora groups and hybrid... More
Saturday, April 15, 2023
Since its independence in 1960 the CAR has faced incredible instability with continual political upheavals, coups, and struggles for power. At the heart of the issue is a number of divisions in the country including political affiliation, religion, land, and ethnicity. These divisions have led to a multitude of armed groups within the CAR... More
To be implemented over a minimum of two years, the Water Infrastructure and Education Program (WIEP) is purposed with providing access to potable water and education for water safety and water treatment to Haitians. The program is oriented towards providing water infrastructure that can withstand natural disasters, provides checks on the... More
Gang violence, fueled by corrupt and elite oligarchs has exacerbated the already declining human development situation in Haiti with a great deal of Haitians now experiencing alarming levels of food insecurity. Additionally, as gang violence expands from the occupied capital of Port-au-Prince into neighbouring areas like Cité Soleil, many youths... More
HOP aims to improve the security and social situation in Port-au-Prince through the development an implementation of a community policing policy with the Haitian National Police (HNP). The community policing approach will contribute to moving past a system that relies heavily on punishment and force, which to date has proved ineffective, and will... More
Monday, March 6, 2023
Aid Effectiveness: Carment Samy The objective of this paper is to focus on fragility research findings and examine what works or does not work in development aid and development cooperation in fragile and conflict affected contexts. We draw on our own research findings as well as country-level studies. We examine questions of aid... More
Haiti Conflict Diagnostic - 2023 Haiti is facing multifaceted and serious challenges. Government institutions have ceased to function effectively, and gangs, backed by the wealthy oligarchs, control nearly two-thirds of the country. Frequent natural disasters further exacerbate the multitude of crises confronting Haiti. While there is... More
CAR Conflict Diagnostic 2023 The Central African Republic (CAR) was thought to be on the path to stability in 2019, but further fighting erupted in late 2020 due to contested elections. This has continued a cycle of violence and unrest, leading to a deteriorating humanitarian situation. The aim of this diagnostic is to evaluate... More
Myanmar Conflict Diagnostic 2023 The current conflict in Myanmar began with the 2021 coup d’état. The conflict between the ruling junta and pro-democracy movement has accelerated environmental degradation and hurt Myanmar’s economic standing. Demographic stress has also worsened both from the junta’s lack of attention to urban... More
North Korea Conflict Diagnostic 2023 North Korea's conflict with the international community is a high-risk and deteriorating situation. Despite relative stability in governance and militarization, the interdependence of the central government with the military and high levels of demographic stress are significant risk factors. All key... More
Sunday, March 13, 2022
2022 Afghanistan Conflict Diagnostic The Taliban’s ascension to power in Afghanistan in August of 2021 has presented a fundamental shift in the trajectory of the future of the country’s political, economic, and humanitarian sectors. The lack of access to international assistance in the wake of the change in governance has led the country to... More
2022 Ethiopia Conflict Diagnostic Since November 2020, clashes between government forces and the Tigray People’s Liberation Front (TPLF) have plunged Ethiopia into a civil war. This diagnostic applies a risk assessment methodology developed by the Country Indicators for Foreign Policy Project to identify trends and risk levels associated with... More
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