Archives: Conflict Risk Assessment – Methodology Reports

Wednesday, March 1, 2017

Colombia 2017 Conflict Risk Assessment PPT

Colombia 2017 Conflict Risk Assessment... More

Thursday, March 3, 2016

Cyprus Conflict Risk Diagnostic 2016

The Northern third of the island is the primarily Turkish Cypriot & Turkish settler “Turkish Republic of Northern Cyprus.” Although arguably de facto sovereign, TRNC is recognized as a state by only Turkey. The internationally recognized government de jure of all of Cyprus is the Republic of Cyprus with its capital in the south.... More

Tuesday, March 1, 2016

Burundi Conflict Risk Diagnostic 2016

Since gaining independence from Belgium in 1962, Burundi has been racked by successive waves of political violence. In the past fifty years, Burundi has suffered three civil conflicts, eight attempted coups d’etat, and two genocides.i The most devastating conflict began in 1993 and was fuelled by instability in neighbouring Rwanda and the... More

Monday, February 29, 2016

Syria Conflict Risk Diagnostic 2016

This diagnostic report examines the recent trends in structural factors from 2011 to 2014 in comparison to the 2006 Syria Baseline Report produced by the Country Indicators for Foreign Policy (CIFP). It also examines the role of internal and external stakeholders, who have contributed to the ongoing conflict. The crucial obstacles preventing... More

Sunday, February 28, 2016

Myanmar Conflict Risk Diagnostic 2016

Myanmar gained independence from Britain in 1948 and functioned as a representative democracy until a military coup in 1962. Myanmar became a military dictatorship, with the power of the military formally enshrined in the Constitution in 1974. Under the Constitution, the Army is guaranteed 25% of seats in the upper and lower chamber –... More

Sunday, February 28, 2016

Ukraine – Conflict Risk Diagnostic 2016

Since declaring independence in 1991, government corruption and economic turbulence have contributed to political unrest in Ukraine. With previous protests yielding little structural change, many Ukrainians have grown frustrated with the lack of action on promised reforms and are increasingly looking to EU integration as a way to move forward. In... More

Friday, January 29, 2016

A Global Review For Canada-Options and Insights

Reduced funding, proliferation of projects, and lack of policy coherence poses an individual constraint to Canada's Official Development Assistance (ODA). These problems has led to Canada's failure to meet the growing global demand for ODA, the amount of resources tied up with administrative costs, and the harming of the efficiency of Canadian aid... More

Thursday, August 27, 2015

Human Rights and Field Operations – Chapter 3 & Conclusion

This chapter begins by discussing these variations of HRFOs in greater detail. A distinction is made between a human rights “field presence” and “field operation.” The second section examines how HRFOs respond to HRVs through monitoring and institution-building – and evaluates the effectiveness of each type of response in deescalating... More

Thursday, August 27, 2015

Human Rights and Field Operations – Chapter 1 & 2

The rise of identity-based, protracted conflicts has altered the traditional means of responding to threats of violence within states. 1 In his 1992 report, “Agenda for Peace,” former United Nations Secretary-General Boutros Boutros-Ghali called for an improved approach to responding to intra-state conflict. He concluded: “Peacemaking and... More

Thursday, August 27, 2015

The Influence of Aid in Situations of Violent Conflict (OECD)

Over the past decade, the mandate of aid has been extended significantly. The end of the Cold War brought about far-reaching political changes that culminated in a great rise in civil wars, especially in Africa and the former Soviet Union, as well as a willingness by the international community to promote democratic and peaceful... More

Thursday, August 27, 2015

Early Warning Methods: Background Report and Methodological Notes

This report presents a framework to direct the future efforts of researchers working on the CIFP project to tailor it to the needs of foreign policy analysts and the early warning research community. It describes procedures to translate information from the internationally-recognized CIFP database, in combination with insights from foreign affairs... More

Thursday, August 27, 2015

CIFP Sample Survey of Foreign Policy Analysts

CIFP Sample Survey of Foreign Policy... More

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